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Villain is a 40/20 LAG who overplays hands postflop. Open raised AK from the CO, got c/r'ed on a low flop UI and 3bet, then bet the turn and checked through the riv.
Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (5 handed)
Hand History Converter Tool from
FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. MP posts a blind of $10.
<font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, MP (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, Hero calls, MP folds.
Flop: (5 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls.
Turn: (3.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, SB calls.
River: (9.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, Hero...
I'm pretty sure there's plenty of value in a river bet when checked to vs. this guy. He's played it like a monster with the turn sexy which includes a bunch of sets and 2pair hands that would easily call one more. He's obviously not a maniac though, so how often am I chopping or winning vs. this checkraise?
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I think this is a great bet. You have to pay it off because some LAG is liable to raise KQ here on the river without thinking/without noticing the texture of the board. Or just because he's a LAG.