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Old 05-13-2006, 03:11 PM
Keyser. Keyser. is offline
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Default Re: 10/20 A Bit Deep

[ QUOTE ]
From the way it plays out, its almost certain he has an overpair.

So lets look at it from a mathematical view. Lets assume that any flush/two pair/trips will win this pot. You have a total of 15 outs. So you have approximately a 30% chance of making your hand on the next card, but only have 2 to 1 odds unless the other guy calls.

So it looks like a fold to me, unless you want to push him off the hand, which doesn't look so good here.

[/ QUOTE ]

I play SSNL, but even I know 15 outs is a 0.85:1 shot (~54% to win). Push.
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