Re: Guide for playing 99-QQ
I'll repost, but this time hopefully say something serious.
I didn't bother to read replies to your question after they started seriously answering your question, so I apologize if I happen to repeat something that someone else already said.
At low stakes, and especially as a low stakes player myself, I realize that I am not nearly the reader that the higher stakes players are. Indeed its not even close to the most important skill to have or be developing at this early point in the game. For support of this statement I will only say that it's impossible to read an unthinking player.
That said, QQ and JJ are premium hands. You should not feel bad about playing these the way you described (potting preflop, and being cautious with them on ugly flops). 99 and TT, however, I have found through personal experience to be troublesome if played this way.
First, both this hands flop an overcard a disparagingly large amount of the time (JJ flops an over card 50% or so of the time as well-- if my memory serves). You are playing a game that morons frequent, and if you happen to have a few at your table, they will most likely be in your hand with you holding one of more card larger than a ten.
Second, attempting to read an opponent is disaster waiting to happen. That is why I play 99 and TT for set value. No pot raises pf, unless late position against one or two limpers (but this is mostly because you have position against weak opponents, not because your hand is a monster.) If you flop a set, bet. If not, fold.
My sarcasm detector doesn't really function properly, so I'm not exactly sure if Isura was being serious or not in the post where she (he?) recomments remembering that you should fold bottom set or top set on a monotone board.
I disagree with this, and pretty strongly too. Folding bottom set against a raiser for no reason other than that your opponent is the pre flop raiser is a serious leak. Isura's language is a little confusing in that she might be meaning to say "but you might have to fold any set (including bottom, middle and top) on a monotone...." This I still disagree with for this reason:
Law of total probability says you can be in two situations
1) your opponent does not yet have a flush. In which case you are VERY likely to be ahead here. If they are specifically drawing to a flush (at this point) you can punish them with a healthy bet (especially if you have position on them).
2) your opponent is a lucksack and has flopped a flush. In which case you still win this hand by the showdown a little more than a third of the time. Your opponent is bad, so look for them to price you in, as I see a lot of low limit NLHE players make small (if any) flop bets when they have a hand this strong trying to get you involved in the pot. Your set already means you are involved, so lol@them cause they dont know about it. Look to implied odds to delete their stack, especially their play strongly suggests that they DO have this flush.
-RubbleRobble
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