Re: Bill Simmons: NFL Playoff Manifesto 4.0
also for what its worth, I believe Simmons was one of the traditionally underdog prognosticators, and got hammered in this regard like a lot of people. IIRC, he finished with a decent record last year.
ultimately i believe the moral of the story is that you can't blindly follow their picks, but I do constantly find their analysis interesting and will often find things in their writeups that I factor in to my own. And in Simmon's case, i find his writing entertaining enough that I'm a regular reader of his blog and columns and bought his book.
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