Re: Bill Simmons: NFL Playoff Manifesto 4.0
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I don't really understand this sentiment. A coin flip on all games has exactly the same expectation.
A long term winner should have a lower winning % if forced to pick every game, but it still should be above 50.
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Hmm, ok you're right. I was originally thinking along the lines of your second statement when I wrote my reply, but you're right that his record should still be above .500. So I guess it's not that great after all.
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