[ilya]

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on the flop he will fold non-pairs whenever he doens't make a pair

and he will fold pairs never


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I think that's generalizing too much.

For example, is he calling with 4-4 after the flop comes A-Q-10?

Or, is he folding K-J on a flop of 3-3-6 getting decent pot odds? What if he flops a flush draw? He's certainly not folding that with the pot odds on the flop.

I realize calculating all of that would be a pain, but without doing all that can you really provide an accurate EV number for SnG?

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Fair points, but is he folding A8 or KJ on a flop of Q33 getting those same nice pot odds? Is he folding Q8 on a 733 flop? Is he always calling with 44 on a KT8 flop? I think the generalizations cut both ways.