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Old 04-26-2006, 10:34 AM
MDMA MDMA is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Default Re: 32K pot against Bld with 8 high? toughest decision I\'ve ever had!

Given that flop texture is somewhat dry (e.g not two-toned), how often is bld following up with a second barrel but shutting down on river (on most cards), this will greatly effect whether calling turn with AA is a good call. If he will very often fire a 3-rd barrel, are you you comfortable calling with AA 60% of the time on turn given that you're prone to be calling another ~4k on river? Since his range will almost never be another overpair/something he would valuebet river with that is worse than AA, AA isn't much stronger than any other bluffcatcher in this spot, right? I'm of course with you that had the board been two-tone it's a whole 'nother ballgame alltogether.

Problem is of course if that we fold a hand as strong as AA here too often, his turnbet would become too much +ev with any two, which I'm guessing is why you would fold sometime and call sometime. If you do call, and if he's very often firing a 3rd bullet here, I'm guessing you're calling river as well a lot of those times (on most cards).

I could be wrong here, that's why I'm asking. :O
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