Re: World Cup...Germany 2006
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If Argentina wins the group I think Portugal will have a pretty easy match against Holland, otherwise I agree with your list.
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"Pretty easy"? No such thing against a team of Holland's calibre. Not a gimmie for Holland, obviously, but I can't see how they'd be a considered less than 50% to beat Portugal when it's being played in Germany.
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EDIT: I also think Sweden/England have a great chance at beating Germany
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Less than 50/50 I think because of home advantage.
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