Re: $50NL AA Hand - I feel sick
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JackAll,
I agree with a 3/4 pot turn, folding to a re-raise. But given villian stack size any appropriate river bet and i think all the money goes in. If hero bets $20 into the hypothetical $40 pot, I dont see how you can fold to a $7 raise into a $87 pot.
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The fundamental point is that villian knows you are not folding, and would only raise there for value, so one pair is beat almost every time without reads that villian is mentally retarded.
For the numbers side of it:
2/3 (say $10) on the turn would make the pot 36.75 and players put in 17.5 each. Then half on the turn would make it so players put in 36 each total. A raise from villian costs $12 more for a $72 pot meaning that we have to win here atleast 14% of the time and we don't.
But all that is moot due to the first point above.
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