[Swax]

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So, a decent player 3-bets preflop from the BB. Even if he also knows that MP1 is "hopeless", MP3 is an unknown, and it's less likely that he thinks you're stealing, so maybe you expand his holdings to JJ+/AK/AQ. When he 3-bets you on the flop, JJ/KK are gone, imo, and you're behind everything else he could be holding.

But, you have the NFD plus other outs and 2 opponents who look like they're not going anywhere. So, I don't hate the cap on the flop.

When the Q falls on the turn, you just pulled ahead of AK, and QQ disappeared. That's all. That leaves you behind 6 combos of AA/AQ and ahead of 12 combos of AK. So, folding isn't an option.

Call or 3-bet?

You just lost MP1's dead money. You're situation isn't going to change, no matter what falls on the river. But, you look like a 2:1 favorite, here, IF IT'S EQUALLY LIKELY THAT HE'S HOLDING AA/AK/AQ. The question is, "Are the 3 hands equally likely?" and I think the answer is: you don't have a good enough read. So, call the turn raise, call any river, and see what he shows you.

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Very nice analysis - I don't do those "X combos of this hand" type analyses enough - and I'm glad to see my "range of hands" question answered so well.

You'd really consider a 3-bet though? Wow - no wonder my aggression numbers are lower than some of y'all fools!

Here's the thing though - even though there are certainly more combos of AK than AA/AQ, I just can't for the life of me imagine someone playing AK like this in a 2/4 online game that plays like a 2/4 B&M game (you all know what that means). Given my read on villain and the game in general, I just saw no way he had AK.

I guess that's kinda the struggle that I'm having - trying to weigh the "don't fold when the pot is huge" school of thought against the ability to read hands and logically deduce when I am obviously beaten.

I know you all hate posting results and such, but I'm sure the subject line can clue you in to what I did and what villain decided to show. Is it absolutely horrible?