Re: Hand against Surfbullet
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So am I really going to be good here 20% of the time against a good thinking player?
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He's a TAG. He knows you're a TAG. As a general rule, that means that at a minimum 10% of his odd-looking plays will be goofy bluffs. I don't think folding here would be a tragedy, but I think that it's marginally +EV to call. It's a raggy board, he could donk here trying to chase you off of A-high, or even a medium pocket. Probably not, but I think you have odds to call.
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