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Old 04-12-2006, 11:02 AM
Grisgra Grisgra is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Crying bloody tears at 20/40
Posts: 4,504
Default Re: Hand against Surfbullet

Meh. I probably call, as I would have expected to hear from a '7' on the flop. He's a TAG, you're a TAG, you have to put him on loony 2+2'er vs 2+2'er trickery ~15% of the time.

EDIT: I see someone suggested a raise. Given the 3-flush out there and the paired board, I don't think Surf calls your raise with, say, 99. If you are calling a 3-bet, then I say raising is bad. If you are confident you can fold to a 3-bet, well . . . I still just don't think you're ahead here often enough, nor do I think Surf calls your 3-bet with anything less than top pair.

I'd guess you're ahead about 35% of the time. Just a guess.
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