[microbet]

[ QUOTE ]
You have to call this. Your hand is just too good. The following ranges seem pretty reasonable to me.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 21.3141 % 20.69% 00.63% { 22+, A2s+, K4s+, Q5s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, A5o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
Hand 2: 33.3188 % 32.47% 00.85% { 77+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+ }
Hand 3: 45.3670 % 44.79% 00.58% { JJ }

You have more then enough hand to play this pot and remember that you have to come in last to not make the money. I'll do an ICM, but calling is probably + 2.0% or more.

Fold - .2998 and .2573
Call - .4396 (win) and .2535 (2nd)

So if it is 63/37 in favor of the short stack if you fold, your fold equity is 27.3%

If you call and are 69/31 favorite over the big stack, your equity is

Win (45.4%)
2nd (23.0%)
3rd (21.3%)
OOTM (10.3%)

Total = 30.0% equity if you call

EV calling = + 2.7%

I'm going to stab myself the next time I see, "play for 3rd" or "play for 1st". That is all nonsense. You make the play with the highest expectation.

[/ QUOTE ]

I hadn't thought of this before, but neither pokerstove nor SNGPT are really up to this task. When you get the percentages for how well JJ does vs. either of these ranges by themselves, you ignore the other villian's range. You will end up doing better than predicted because their outs will be more dead than if those cards were random.