Re: Variance, fear of it, and dealing with it.
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Did I play too cautiously?
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Yes, and you overthought the situation quite a bit too.
You had it exactly right when you knew you should push preflop. When you are on a small stack, you can't afford to wait for large edges. I'm pretty sure this is an unexploitable +EV push or close to it (meaning there's no range he can call with that will make this -EV).
I don't know what it has to with variance. Whether or not you like getting all in as a slight favorite is totally irrelevant when you have 4BB's left in your stack. You take what you can get.
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