Re: When the value of your set comes into question
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First of all, don't cold call with 44.
[/ QUOTE ]
False.
[/ QUOTE ]
What?!
Care to elaborate Aaron? It seems like cold calling with low pairs in general will be a loser. Even in position. In a family pot your implied odds look better. But heads up it seems like this to me:
1 time you flop a set. You might the Villian to pay you 5 big bits on average. I think this is generous.
7.5 times you miss your set and must fold having paid 2 small bets (1bb).
(1*5) - (2 * 7.5) = 5 - 15 = -10 BB profit
You lose 1.2 bets per hand on average when you enter this. I know sometimes the villain will pay better, but sometimes he will also fold to the flop raise.
So I think Aaron's "False" is either not what he meant, or I don't get it.
Without a compelling read this is a PF fold.
|