Re: JTs settle a disagreement with DeathDonkey
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This is fallacious, incomplete thinking. Why do we worry about our odds so much when we call with hands pre-flop in the BB? It's because making money in poker is entirely concerned with the ratio of expectated bets versus bets paid. Let's spell this particular hand out, to the letter. I'm going to assume 40% pot equity, since it's a nice round number to work with, and plug it into the 20:2 vs 20:3 example you just quoted.
If we put 3 bets into a 20 bet pot with 40% equity we net a gain of 2.7 bets (20/3*0.4). If we put 2 bets in with 40% equity we net 4 bets (20/2*0.4). You'll notice that this happens to be a huge freaking difference! Double the pot size and you double the disparity.
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You continue to ignore factors that go into the calculation of the EV of raising the flop and you haven't even bothered to compare it to the possibility of trapping people for two double-sized bets on the turn or river.
Plus your math is off.
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