Re: Exploiting tendencies
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Not sure how often you can value bet middle pair.
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I’m not sure about middle pair, how often you should be betting it for value.
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Since there seems to be a trend here, I'll help you out [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. If it's heads-up on the turn and/or river between me and a calling station, I'm betting middle pair, good kicker most of the time, and 100% of the time if I have a pocket pair above middle pair.
Think of it this way. If you've paired the second of five board cards, then he's (roughly) three times as likely to have a worse pair. Even after you discount his holdings for bottom pair and such (even fish are more likely to play Ax than 4x), you're still going to have him beat most of the time. And when you have the pocket pair instead, that just magnifies things.
Scott
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