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-   -   NL 100 - OOP nut flush draw on the flop (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=536009)

YKMM 11-01-2007 09:41 AM

NL 100 - OOP nut flush draw on the flop
 
Do I have at least a call on the flop? Villain is 17/11/3 in large sample and is likely to pound any blank turn.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

UTG+1 ($78.40)
MP1 ($150.30)
Hero ($97.90)
MP3 ($132.35)
CO ($99.50)
Button ($80)
SB ($153.20)
BB ($180.85)
UTG ($173.15)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls $1, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $5, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP1 folds.

Flop: ($12.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $9</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $25</font>, Hero .....

pingu 11-01-2007 11:01 AM

Re: NL 100 - OOP nut flush draw on the flop
 
Well, you said it with "[Villain] likely to pound any blank turn."

This rules out a call for me - a club, A or K will likely slow him down killing the implied odds, and a blank will let him take it.

His stats seem pretty TAG so his cold calling range here is AQ/AK, 99+ ? All of which you've got a decent draw against.
What do you look like to him? If you've got a high AF/cbet %age, he may well be trying to use position to move you off AK/AQ (good read by him). In this case I think a rr AI is a good option - it looks alot like a premium pair protecting against a FD.

OTOH, a fold isn't wrong in this spot - if he's good, tangle with worse players for your stack.

But hey, I'm a NL25 player so this might be waaaay wrong!

Cheers,
pingu


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