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-   -   Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=516127)

munkey 10-05-2007 08:29 AM

Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
Sorry for the obscure title - google Odo birth if curious...

BTN is 45/18/2 over 80 hands calls alot of opens and floats flop about 2/3 time

BB is a 25/17 1/2 stack TAGfish that sees alot showdowns -called 2 pfrs with broadway junk OOP

I've been fairly tight and only played small pots so far.
Comments on all streets/betsizing too please.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (UTG): $54.15
BTN: $46.95
SB: $26.75
BB: $47.85

Pre-Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, BTN calls $1.75, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

Flop: ($5.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $2</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8</font>, BTN calls $8, SB calls $6

<font color="blue">Comments on raise size vs donk bet - at the time I thought chances of an overcall /raise high and this size allows PSB turn shove -but should this be a PSR?</font>

Turn: ($29.75) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $17 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $17, BTN calls $17

<font color="blue">o.k. worst card in deck falls - After he donks AI I think that card helped him most likely -so str8/QJ - is my turn call of 17 EV for boatage odds and also the fact BTN could shove over the top? ( I would call an AI i fhe did that)
I made this turn call mostly based on 25% or so boating odds despite the fact &gt;1/3 stack in means I'm PNL commited</font>

River: ($80.75) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players - 1 is All-In)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $20.20 and is All-In</font>, Hero folds

<font color="blue">BTN's overcall worries me I think @ least one has the srtr8 now given the board and think I have the worst hand so checkt he river -bad fold given I've got to be good only 20% time on pot odds alone?

HU I would be more inclined to get AI but 3way I think the % 1 or more holds the str8 is much higher given the board and action</font>

Results: $80.75 Pot ($2 Rake)

GSykes 10-05-2007 08:32 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
This spot just plain sucks.

I mean I think you can fold the turn

jonni999 10-05-2007 08:32 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
Fold turn, 1 card str8 is on table and you have only a bottom set.

corsakh 10-05-2007 08:34 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
Fold turn

munkey 10-05-2007 08:37 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
ok unanimous so far [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

So my call with 10 outs to boat on the turn is -EV with BTN behind to act?

corsakh 10-05-2007 08:40 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
I doubt its ten. One of them can easily have two pair.

GSykes 10-05-2007 08:40 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
wait rethinking this post

krayz1e1 10-05-2007 08:45 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
sick turn. i'd fold. calling the turn to hope to boat it and get paid by the button is pretty much breakeven play in the long run + you have to hope that button won't shove over the top. imho there are better spots to put your money in.

Speirsy 10-05-2007 09:19 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
Shove turn &gt;&gt; calling turn

Snafu'd 10-05-2007 09:35 AM

Re: Odo ldo? NL50 I misplays a set?
 
I think you should make a pot sized raise on the flop due to board texture. As played, fold turn.


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