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-   -   [25nl] tough push/fold decision (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=512566)

swearengen13 09-30-2007 04:58 PM

[25nl] tough push/fold decision
 
No stats on villian,

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP2 ($7.10)
Hero ($23.75)
Button ($24.55)
SB ($14.85)
BB ($21.65)
UTG ($12.10)
UTG+1 ($15.80)
MP1 ($28.55)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, Button calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($2.35) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $11.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $20</font>,

CesareBorgia 09-30-2007 05:50 PM

Re: [25nl] tough push/fold decision
 
It appears that the main question is whether it was correct to re-raise on the flop, right? And if so, what is the correct amount to re-raise to? Your opponent re-re-raised to $20 making it $8.5 to call with just under $34 in the pot. You have only $12.75 left, so by re-raising to $11.5 you have committed yourself.

What did you put your opponent on when het raised to $3 on the flop? I think he may have 66, T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], any QJ, and maybe AQ, JJ, QQ or KT.

If you decide to re-raise, you commit yourself to the pot as I argued earlier, so you might as well go all-in when re-raising. After such a re-raise your opponent has to call $21.25 with $29.60 in the pot. He would call with 66, QQ, JJ, T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], and QJ. He would not call with AQ or KT.

I think you would only be called with hands against which you are either a slight favourite, a slight underdog or a huge underdog. Therefore, a call to his raise to $3 would be advisable. If a small non-club comes on the turn, you can be aggressive again.

Chargers In 07 09-30-2007 05:54 PM

Re: [25nl] tough push/fold decision
 
Against a range of QJ/66 you have 27.9% equity. To profitably push here you need 23.5% equity. Easy push.

CesareBorgia 09-30-2007 05:58 PM

Re: [25nl] tough push/fold decision
 
[ QUOTE ]
Against a range of QJ/66 you have 27.9% equity. To profitably push here you need 23.5% equity. Easy push.

[/ QUOTE ]

That is to decide how to act on the re-re-raise to $20, right? But was the re-raise to $11.5 correct in your opinion, Chargers In 07?

Chargers In 07 09-30-2007 06:06 PM

Re: [25nl] tough push/fold decision
 
Reraise or call and c/r the turn on a blank is fine to, I'm not folding.

CesareBorgia 09-30-2007 06:15 PM

Re: [25nl] tough push/fold decision
 
So you're not sure whether or not you would make the re-raise to $11.5, right?


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