200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

No special reads on villain, seems a little "meh" though.

My reasoning for my smaller bet on the turn was that he would probably raise with a big queen, and I didn't want to chace out his small pairs.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $102.70
UTG+1: $238.85
CO: $279.80
Button: $367.60
SB: $34
Hero: $208

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
2 folds, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, Hero checks.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($8, 4 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6</font>, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($20, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $14</font>, Button calls.

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($48, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero ???</font>

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

bet more on turn still. Lead river as played for 32~

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

Does he call down light? What's your image? Have you been 2 or 3 barreling a lot lately? Would he bluff a missed draw when checked to?

Against an completely unknown opponent i'd just bet $38.

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

c/r all day.

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

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c/r all day.

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Me likes. Me likes a lot.

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

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c/r all day.

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Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

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c/r all day.

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Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

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c/r all day.

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This sucks.

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

c/r sucks the big one here

lead 1/2 pot ish

Re: 200NL: Getting max value with nuts
 

Why does c/r suck?

FD are bluffing,
Queens are bet/calling or bet/folding
FH's are bet/calling or bet/raising
22-66 are checking behind, but prob folding to a bet anyways.
99-TT are prob bet/folding, maybe checking behind
a pair of 8's or 7's are sometimes bet/folding, sometimes checking behind.

So we only lose value to a pair of 8's, 7's, 99 and TT, and that's not certain. Also, 99-TT are unlikely. By c/r we get a lot of value from all other hands. What am I missing?

EDIT: If he has a 4 in his hand, which is not unlikely, he's probably checking behind if we check, but he's not calling much with that either.