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-   -   16 Stars: Clear Fold? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=439227)

mr_tea 06-29-2007 08:55 PM

16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
I'm having a hard time believing this is a -EV calling with AKs in this siutation. your thoughts? I checked out the EV in SnG Wiz and it says it's a -EV even when i put him on a wide range of hands. I mean AK must be ahead most of the time in this situation, n if i win this pot i'll make the payout.

PS Sorry, i don't know how to post the histories so i just pasted my HH.

Seat 2: EVERY1SUX (3780 in chips)
Seat 3: woooxie (4035 in chips)
Seat 5: ti3n1 (2075 in chips)
Seat 7: Phuda (3610 in chips)
EVERY1SUX: posts the ante 25
woooxie: posts the ante 25
ti3n1: posts the ante 25
Phuda: posts the ante 25
ti3n1: posts small blind 200
Phuda: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ti3n1 [Ah Kh]
EVERY1SUX: folds
woooxie: raises 1600 to 2000
ti3n1: raises 50 to 2050 and is all-in
Phuda: folds

BigCummins 06-29-2007 09:14 PM

Re: 16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
Plugged it into sngpt and its a good call, like +2% good with a realistic range so idk what the deal is with sngwiz, i'm never folding this.

elcheapo 06-29-2007 09:18 PM

Re: 16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
I'd never fold given stacks

SitNGo Wizard 06-29-2007 11:29 PM

Re: 16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
Reduce the calling ranges of the blinds, especially when hero folds, and you will get the answer you expect.

jaydreb 06-29-2007 11:34 PM

Re: 16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
I'd be surprised if pushing wasn't the right play here.

Luisgallo 06-30-2007 01:34 AM

Re: 16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
I fold AK here all my life.

Shillx 06-30-2007 02:01 AM

Re: 16 Stars: Clear Fold?
 
Push not close. You need like 36% equity and you figure to have 45% or more.


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