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-   -   50NL Turned set on scary board (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=426859)

GoRedBirds 06-13-2007 06:47 PM

50NL Turned set on scary board
 
Second orbit at table so no read on villain.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($8.25)
BB ($45.40)
UTG ($30.95)
MP ($61.30)
CO ($92.65)
Hero ($45.70)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $2</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $3.

Flop: ($10.75) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7.5</font>, CO calls $7.50.

Turn: ($25.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks

I'd appreciate comments on all streets. Thanks!

BEEFAROO 06-13-2007 06:52 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
check and call river.
b/f river if it comes to it

vixticator 06-13-2007 06:54 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
Looks kind of like JJ/QQ or even KK/AA with a club. Hard to say without having any PF numbers. You only have $32 behind... hmm, push.

jerryf1914 06-13-2007 06:56 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
i think its safe to say you are winning here unless a club comes on the river. this is heads up and flopping a flush just doesn't happen heads up and unless the villian is stupid only 77 would give him the straight.

Roger Mainfield 06-13-2007 06:59 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
Bet, there are a huge amount of scare cards on the river, and you most likely have the best hand. I would probably push, he is calling with a big part of his range.

GoRedBirds 06-13-2007 07:01 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
Thanks for the comments. Anything wrong with the flop bet?

LMAO 06-13-2007 07:16 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
I like pf and flop. On the turn i'm unsure. We have a strong made hand with strong redraw so im inclined to get it in... I shove.

Chomp 06-13-2007 07:37 PM

Re: 50NL Turned set on scary board
 
I make it $6 pre in position.

I usually bet turn here, but think I might have a leak in these spots.

My temptation here is often to bet half villains remaining stack now and half on the river, as we don't want to scare him off JJ+/2p/whatever. The problem though is that if we do this, we are offereing villain ~3/1 and that seems a bit tight.

So, I never know whether, once we plan to get it in no matter what, it is ok to risk offering reasonable odds with a smaller turn bet?? Kinda close our eyes and just bet 1/2 and 1/2.

~100BB stacks make this a not uncommon problem.


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