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-   -   [NL100] I can't fold this set can I ? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=426019)

Frelled 06-12-2007 05:19 PM

[NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
On the river, I know there's a 4 straight but there's no way I can give him credit for that is there ?

I figured his range for the push could include 2 pair, an under set and maybe even busted flush draws and I felt compelled to call.

Villain is loose passive. 45/5/0.4

My image is standard TAG.

Cryptologic - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $39.00
BB: $20.00
UTG: $109.15
<font color="black">Hero (MP): $169.15</font>
CO: $81.31
BTN: $40.95

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.00</font>, 4 folds, UTG calls $4.00

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($11.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $8.00</font>, UTG calls $8.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($27.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $21.00</font>, UTG calls $21.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($69.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets all-in for $75.15</font>, Hero calls $75.15

Pot Size: $219.80 ($3 Rake)

Imrahil 06-12-2007 05:20 PM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
no way jose

J-Bo 06-12-2007 05:25 PM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
This is a no-brainer. Easy call.

Acein8ter 06-12-2007 06:27 PM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
Don't tell us he had pocket 4's...

early325 06-12-2007 06:33 PM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
No.

tannenj 06-12-2007 11:57 PM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
how many hands are those stats over?

i'd probably fold this if your sample is reasonable.

fees 06-13-2007 12:04 AM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
[ QUOTE ]
no way jose

[/ QUOTE ]

Frelled 06-13-2007 05:18 AM

Re: [NL100] I can\'t fold this set can I ?
 
Stats are over about 1000 hands.

Thing is, he's soooo passive it seemed highly likely he had a 4. I just couldn't see how.

Afterwards I figured a hand like 4h6h would've been possible but it turned out even that was giving him too much credit.

Obviously I lost but was I suprised when he turned over 4c7c.

My real question is, given he's so passive, is a fold reasonable or are there enough hands that I'm beating, that would play like this, that make the call +EV ?


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