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-   -   What's the right move here? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=376345)

Toronexti 04-11-2007 07:34 PM

What\'s the right move here?
 
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t150/t300
(Ante: t15)
9 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: t6610
UTG+1: t3827
MP1: t7239
MP2: t7300
MP3: t4802
CO: t14679
Button: t1779
SB: t4915
Hero: t10340

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="red"> UTG raises to t900 </font> , UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls t900 (pot was t1485), MP2 calls t900 (pot was t2385), 4 folds, Hero calls t600 (pot was t3285).

Flop: 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (t3885, 4 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, <font color="red"> MP1 is all-in t6324 </font> , <font color="red"> MP2 raises all-in t6385 </font> , Hero ??

ItalianFX 04-11-2007 07:42 PM

Re: What\'s the right move here?
 
Fold Preflop?

If you call and lose, you have 3000 chips. If you call and catch your diamond, you'll have something like 26k.

I don't really know what kind of hand range to put these guys on, but if you give them:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.137% 35.13% 00.01% 194840 38.50 { KdTd }
Hand 1: 32.398% 31.86% 00.53% 176729 2962.50 { 66+ }
Hand 2: 32.465% 31.93% 00.53% 177102 2960.00 { 66+ }

you are slightly ahead.

One of them could have a flushdraw, maybe holding the Ad. I'd probably fold, but I'm really unsure.

homanga 04-11-2007 09:51 PM

Re: What\'s the right move here?
 
Only way a fold is right play is if someone holds AdXd. I think this is a push unlikely to be up against an Ace high FD.

Pat_B 04-11-2007 10:02 PM

Re: What\'s the right move here?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think this is a push unlikely to be up against an Ace high FD.

[/ QUOTE ]

This isn't always true, the nut flush draw shoves because hes getting great odds with all the PF monies in there.

Folding PF would have been better either way.

Ross 04-11-2007 10:12 PM

Re: What\'s the right move here?
 
I do'nt like the call preflop with KT because this is the position you end up with post flop. 60% of your stack is at at stake and you could be drawing completely dead. UTG is marked as a big pair and MP must have a hand to call. Unless you know for sure that they would'nt call preflop MP with the following hands 55 22 or AdQd you should fold, the draw is tempting but it could already be worthless.


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