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Parlay or not?
I was just curious on what the average sports gambler thinks on parlay's. I have stayed away from them, because I believe that was the reason last time I bet I parlayed way too much. Now I am 43-12 in the last 6 days with my live bets included. Without I am 27-6. I have yet to make a parlay, and I was wondering what you guys thought about them. Do you like to do them? If you do use them, how often? How many teams are included? Do you mix under/over with moneyline and spread?? Etc, I'd like some detailed input.
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Re: Parlay or not?
Most people here use them for entertainment/degenerate gambling purposes. They're generally regarded as -EV bets, minus a few exceptions.
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Re: Parlay or not?
I bet up to .2u on parlays but it's more for action than anything else.
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Re: Parlay or not?
1. Basketball - Marquette - moneyline (-3000)
for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 8:00pm [winner] 2. Basketball - Wisconsin - moneyline (-700) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 8:00pm [winner] 3. Basketball - Temple - moneyline (-1300) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 7:00pm [winner] 4. Basketball - North Carolina - moneyline (-200) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 9:00pm [winner] 5. Basketball - Kansas - moneyline (-700) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 9:00pm [winner] 6. Basketball - UNLV - moneyline (-2500) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 10:00pm [winner] 7. Basketball - Boston College - spread -5 (-110) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 7:00pm [winner] 8. Basketball - Wright State - spread -1½ (-110) for the entire game held on Feb 7 at 8:00pm [winner] That is one of mine from the other day. Paid out 7.16 units for every 1 unit bet. I usually like to bet a mix of MLs, totals and spreads with parlays. Doing all ML parlays sometimes works out, but other times like when NC loses to NCST you go broke. I usually will aim for 4 to 8 teams, the 4 or so MLs I am completely confident about and a couple spreads/totals I am also confident about. -Brendan |
Re: Parlay or not?
So in a nutshell if you have some $ you can afford too lose, its okay for entertainment?? Do you do two or 3 team bets? Or do you like to mix and match bets..
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Re: Parlay or not?
I like to take a few ML favs and Parlay to +100 and bet a unit. It seems to be working out but i am not keeping good stats on it right now. There is usually a nice ML fav go down each night, so you cant just pick them blind.
For example tonight: Texas Tech @ Texas A&M (ML) Texas A&M -1150 Virginia Tech @ North Carolina (ML) North Carolina -2200 POR TBlazers @ MIA Heat (ML) MIA Heat -525 DAL Mavericks @ MIL Bucks (ML) DAL Mavericks -600 SAC Kings @ HOU Rockets (ML) HOU Rockets -350 5 Play Parlays |
Re: Parlay or not?
If you want to be long term winner just bet single.
if you want to win 260 on the 2 team then bet 130 on each team. 2 times you win 1 team lose 1 team you lose 13 juice $ but on parlay those 2 times you lose $200. 1 time you lose both team you loser $286. 1 times you win both team you win $260. so about 50% of time you win 1 lose 1 you lose $13 25% of the time you win both team you win $260 25% lose - $286 if you do 2 team parlay 50% of the time you will lose -100 25% of the time you lose - $286 25% Win +260 if you do 2 team single 50% times you win 1 lose 1 you lose 13+ 13 = -$26 25% you lose both team you lose -$286 25% of the time you win you win +260. do the math single game alway better. |
Re: Parlay or not?
[ QUOTE ]
do the math single game alway better. [/ QUOTE ] I agree with your math....Unless you dont want to tie up a large chunk of change in one game just to win a little. I always feel bad betting a -500 line in the regular season NBA, which is what i bet |
Re: Parlay or not?
Parlys are considered sucker bets but when it hits, man... it sure is exciting!!!!!
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Re: Parlay or not?
If you are small stakes you can make a $20 bet on 4 to 6 parlay mix of ML, O/U, spreads and if you are lucky enough to hit you are probably 450 to 600 up. Only have to hit every 3rd to 4th week if you play once a day. Parlays are cheap way for small time bettor to have fun. Kind of like the lottery. I've made and hit 8 team parlays for 20 and payout almost 4000. Make a 4 or 5 team huge favorite parlay on the ML and you can use that to cover the lottery parlay.
I am a degenerate though. Went to bed last night and parlayed the hawaii and gonzagas games just because they were the last games of the night. |
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