When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

Over a very small sample (40 hands), this guy was 44/2/4.6.... The sample is so small it's nearly meaningless, but what's relevant is that I'd been stealing alot, generally running people over, so I was calling bs on his first reraise. What do we think of that, first of all, given my image?

Now when he pushes for his remaining 70 bucks, I am pretty much done for, but there is some small chance he has 89 or a weak T, so I call. Can you fold here? Would it have been better to reraise a smaller amount an then fold, since 89 is the only draw? What is the optimal amount?

What is a better way to play this altogether?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter

UTG ($272.11)
MP ($474.20)
CO ($428.50)
Hero ($456.90)
SB ($146)
BB ($78.09)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
UTG calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $4, SB (poster) completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($16) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $9</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $37</font>, SB folds, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $65</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $200</font>, Hero calls $68.11.

Turn: ($349.11) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

River: ($349.11) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: $349.11

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

once you commit yourself i think you have to call the last 70 or so.

raise pf. fold to the flop reraise.

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

[ QUOTE ]
once you commit yourself i think you have to call the last 70 or so.

raise pf. fold to the flop reraise.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

[ QUOTE ]
I'd been stealing alot, generally running people over, so I was calling bs on his first reraise. What do we think of that, first of all, given my image?


[/ QUOTE ]drop down to 1/2.

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

[ QUOTE ]
once you commit yourself i think you have to call the last 70 or so.

raise pf. fold to the flop reraise.

[/ QUOTE ]

agree

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

You say that the sample is meaningless and that your image is relevant. The sample is relevant because your image may be meaningless.

I would raise the flop to $30 and go from there. I would fold under pressure.

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

This board is so dry I think its a perfect time to call and re-eval.

Re: When To Save Money Despite Good Odds?
 

this is usually going to look pretty bad for you.