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-   -   20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=187063)

tl65\ 08-15-2006 12:29 AM

20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it
 
MP2 is a good player, about 19/14, MP3 is about 30/15 but not too bad postflop.

Party Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $20/$40
10 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
4 folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 raises</font>, MP3 calls, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero 3-bets</font>, BB folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 caps</font>, MP3 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (13SB, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 raises</font>, MP3 calls, Hero calls.

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (9.5BB, 3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks.

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (9.5BB, 3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 bets</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises!</font>

thoughts? I also planned on raising the turn if MP3 bet the turn.

sonartec 08-15-2006 06:58 AM

Re: 20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it
 
No way both of them are folding, so you think MP2 capped 88 preflop and mp3 called the river with K high?

MP2 has KK QQ JJ here alot

I doubt he will believed you didnt lead the turn with an Ace after the turn was checked through, therefore he will call. Thats even without considering MP3 in the middle

d10 08-15-2006 10:45 AM

Re: 20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it
 
Nobody's folding anything better than TT, your raise would only be good if it was for value and it's definitely not in this case. If MP3 had folded, I would have made a crying call, but you can't even overcall here, much less raise.

brettbrettr 08-15-2006 10:49 AM

Re: 20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it
 
If he's any kind of hand reader he's calling with JJ or QQ or whatever.

tl65\ 08-15-2006 11:03 AM

Re: 20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it
 
You guys don't think MP2 folds his hand 1 out of 6 times when I checkraise two players? I really think I'm most likely ahead of MP3. I really don't see anything he can have that beats me at this point, so I only have to make MP2 fold.

d10 08-15-2006 11:36 AM

Re: 20/40 hand, pot got pretty big and I want to win it
 
There's a decent chance you're ahead of MP3, but less than 100%. You're raising hoping that both MP2 folds and MP3 has a worse hand. I don't think these 2 events will occur together often enough to be a profitable raise.


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