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-   -   TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=173004)

Ampelmann 07-28-2006 11:27 AM

TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
I haven't played many hands, but the table seemed pretty loose (this hand is an indication for that). The only player I know to be somewhat decent is the CO (and he folds anyway).

Paradise Poker 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, MP2 (poster) checks, MP3 calls, CO calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: (7 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(7 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, UTG calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO folds, Hero ?

I have TP, great. It's not impossible that someone has me outkicked (4.5 outs for me) and that someone has a straight (1.5 outs) or several might be on straight draws (bad reverse implied odds). Even if I have the best hand and nobody has a OESD, many overcards can come (bad reverse implied odds). However, the pot is huge (12 SB) and I close the action.

Without the backdoor draw I think I'd fold, but here?

kerowo 07-28-2006 11:29 AM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
Pretty close but I think it's a peal, should be pretty easy to get away from if the turn isn't a big club or a 3.

Str8Fish 07-28-2006 11:30 AM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
you call even without the bdfd. Why would you fold top pair?

kerowo 07-28-2006 11:32 AM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you call even without the bdfd. Why would you fold top pair?

[/ QUOTE ]

Because there is one kicker you beat on a somewhat coordinated board? Granted not much aggression shown but how often do you think this holds up?

Ampelmann 07-28-2006 11:35 AM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you call even without the bdfd. Why would you fold top pair?

[/ QUOTE ]
Because it's not unlikely that I'm behind already, either against a better T or a str8 (or even 97), and there are tons of cards that will kill me if I'm ahead (or that at least would give me a hard time to continue).

Against such a big field a weak TP with no kicker wins almost never. I'm sure it wins less than 8% of the time.

Str8Fish 07-28-2006 11:55 AM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
I was saying that you were thinking of folding the flop with the fantastic pot odds to two pair or trips on the turn? I wouldn't ever fold in this situation.

Aaron W. 07-28-2006 11:59 AM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
Folding sucks. I'd peel here without the BDFD.

Even if you think you're dominated, you've got 4.5 outs to victory (BDFD + 3 two pair outs). Also, you're closing the action so you don't need to worry about getting raised. Oh yeah, I forgot to mention that there are 12 FREAKING SMALL BETS IN THE POT and it only costs you ONE to peel and see what happens.

[ QUOTE ]
you fold too damn much.

[/ QUOTE ]

bozlax 07-28-2006 12:10 PM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you call even without the bdfd. Why would you fold top pair?

[/ QUOTE ]

Because there is one kicker you beat on a somewhat coordinated board? Granted not much aggression shown but how often do you think this holds up?

[/ QUOTE ]

Somewhere around never. But, you're getting 12:1 to try and improve it...that's almost enough to draw to just the 3s, alone.

kerowo 07-28-2006 12:15 PM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you call even without the bdfd. Why would you fold top pair?

[/ QUOTE ]

Because there is one kicker you beat on a somewhat coordinated board? Granted not much aggression shown but how often do you think this holds up?

[/ QUOTE ]

Somewhere around never. But, you're getting 12:1 to try and improve it...that's almost enough to draw to just the 3s, alone.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yea, I agree it's a call. I wouldn't if it was two back to me though.

Romulus141 07-28-2006 12:18 PM

Re: TP no kicker + BDFD, call flop?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Folding sucks. I'd peel here without the BDFD.

Even if you think you're dominated, you've got 4.5 outs to victory (BDFD + 3 two pair outs). Also, you're closing the action so you don't need to worry about getting raised. Oh yeah, I forgot to mention that there are 12 FREAKING SMALL BETS IN THE POT and it only costs you ONE to peel and see what happens.

[ QUOTE ]
you fold too damn much.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

When I was reading this thread, this Ed Miller post was exactly what popped in my mind almost immediately.

Easy call. UI, check the turn and see what happens, if there is a bet plus some overcalls, I think you can safely fold then.


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