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-   -   somebody talk me out of this bet (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=145843)

freewheeler 06-23-2006 05:08 PM

somebody talk me out of this bet
 
Mexico 9/1 to win in 90 minutes. I know Argentina are g00t, but doncha think Mexico wins more than 1 in 10?

This WC has been kicking my a$$, guess I should just be betting all the chalk like everyone else seems to be... I just can't help myself from looking for value in big prices...

shant 06-23-2006 07:59 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
Free,

Mexico goes down hard tommorrow. They looked like ass against Angola, and the only team they had an easy win against was Iran.

Ghostridah 06-23-2006 08:35 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
dont do it free, i dont think mexico can take argentina 1 in 10 in the same scenario

how much are you putting on germany?

Ortho 06-23-2006 08:59 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
If you were inclined to fade Argentina for some reason (and I see no reason to do so), I'd prefer maybe a bet on the first half draw. Even Mexico 1st Half +.5 +115 looks really, really short. If you made me bet on Mexico in some form or other, I'd do something like that, but I see no value on Mexico in this game.

Freerollin` 06-23-2006 09:28 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
sweet jesus in heaven, people, I get back from vacation and you're trying to tell this guy not to take this value?

there's value in this bet. I'm on it too.

eldeskey 06-23-2006 09:42 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
sweet jesus in heaven, people, I get back from vacation and you're trying to tell this guy not to take this value?

there's value in this bet. I'm on it too.

[/ QUOTE ]

argentina is a cup contender who has looked solid so far. mexico is a worse team who has looked so-so. being the start of the second round argentina is not going to take mexico lightly. that being said, i think there is still some value on mexico at this price

ThaHero 06-23-2006 11:23 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
Argentina has looked like one of the top 3 teams so far haven't they? I'm taking them, and wondering if there is value on them at 2 1/2 goals +140

Phanekim 06-23-2006 11:39 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
you have to remember that these teams are playing do or die. IF mex played arg they would win more than 1 out of 10...but if there were 10 do or die matches...argentina would win all of them. There's just too much at stake. u see the top teams just go at it for 90 mins full hard on.

ImBen 06-23-2006 11:50 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
sweet jesus in heaven, people, I get back from vacation and you're trying to tell this guy not to take this value?

there's value in this bet. I'm on it too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Freerollin' said something smart! Expect the apocalypse by the end of the month.

ImBen 06-23-2006 11:52 PM

Re: somebody talk me out of this bet
 
Mexico -.5 +900 is a tremendous bet. Mexico is about a 4-1 underdog in this match.


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