Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

10-20 6max

Villain is a weakish regular. 28/13/1.5 overall.

Seat 6: Villain ( $3789.50 )
Seat 5: Hero ( $3414.50 )

SB posts small blind [$10].
BB post big blind [$20].

** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Ks 8s ]
Hero raises [$70].
Villain calls [$70].
SB folds.
BB calls [$50].

** Dealing Flop ** [ Qh, 6s, 7s ]
BB checks.
Hero bets [$150].
Villain raises [$400].
BB folds.
Hero calls [$250].

** Dealing Turn ** [ 9s ]

Hero bets [$750].
Villain calls [$750].

** Dealing River ** [ As ]

How much should I bet?

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

1k

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

I actually like 1.5kish, hope he pushes with Qs

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

[ QUOTE ]
I actually like 1.5kish, hope he pushes with Qs

[/ QUOTE ]LOL

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

[ QUOTE ]
I actually like 1.5kish, hope he pushes with Qs

[/ QUOTE ]

I hope they call with it.

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

why not push and hope he thinks you're bluffing?


are those stats 6max or full?


also, if a normal opponent only calls with the nut flush on the river, isn't it +EV to just push this river with any 2 as a bluff?

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

baronzeus,

if we dont have the Ks in our hand, then there's the possibility that villain does. this isnt PLO

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

[ QUOTE ]
baronzeus,

if we dont have the Ks in our hand, then there's the possibility that villain does. this isnt PLO

[/ QUOTE ]


i know that, but if i bluff like the full pot size, my bluff only needs to work 1 time in 2, right? that means he has to have the Ks at least 50% of the time for my bluff to be breakeven, and i think that's a pretty generous %, considering he has sets, lower flushes, and other crap a good % of the time.

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

Id bet 0

Re: Nut flush on 4flush board. Bet sizing question.
 

[ QUOTE ]
also, if a normal opponent only calls with the nut flush on the river, isn't it +EV to just push this river with any 2 as a bluff?

[/ QUOTE ]

How often do you have a bluffing hand given the action?

For the record, I did push the river.