*** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (but NOT NE @ IND) ***
 

NFL Week 9, Afternoon Game threads.

SEA @ CLE
HOU @ OAK

NE @ IND gets its own thread:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...umber=12709003

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) ***
 

Colts ML +205, should i wait and see if i get better price later on the week or just bet now? any thoughts about the line moves in this one?

-JC

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Pats opened at 4.5, are already up to 5. I'd expect it to go higher, ML should do the same.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Can we just keep Pats/Colts talk in that thread? That game's gonna be bet wild, let's keep it in one spot.

Clev -1 or -1.5 gives me a stiffy I could eat a cheeseburger off of.

- Dennis Leary -

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

I personally dont think that the NE/Pat line will move any more. It feels just like the Indy/Dallas game last year where Indy was +1 and lost.

However, since you like the Colts ML the only place the line would shift if it does is in your favor so have patience.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

I think it will go to 6, maybe even 6.5. 78% so far on NE according to Sports Insights and the public doesn't even start betting until Thursday.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Im a jet fan, but love the skins this week. well I like whoever plays the jets any week. but 4.5 seems more than fair. clements playing and skins off a horrible beat, seems pretty dope to me.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

[ QUOTE ]
Im a jet fan, but love the skins this week. well I like whoever plays the jets any week. but 4.5 seems more than fair. clements playing and skins off a horrible beat, seems pretty dope to me.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where do you see 4.5? I see Jets +3.5 and will probably be on that.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

[ QUOTE ]
Im a jet fan, but love the skins this week. well I like whoever plays the jets any week. but 4.5 seems more than fair. clements playing and skins off a horrible beat, seems pretty dope to me.

[/ QUOTE ]
Skins are a road favorite, team is in shambles right now, although so are the Jets with their qb situation. I'm a skins homer and not sure at this point. I also hate giving up the 3, since basically every Redskins game has been close (except for lions and pats ldo).

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Browns -1.5

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Im going to include seattle in a teaser bet.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Anyone have any thoughts on the HOU @ OAK game?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

Too much uncertainty to bet on that game, imo. It's currently up in the air whether Schaub, Green, or Johnson will play for Houston.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

[ QUOTE ]
Too much uncertainty to bet on that game, imo. It's currently up in the air whether Schaub, Green, or Johnson will play for Houston.

[/ QUOTE ]

Schaub is out, Johnson is "85%" and expected to play, Green is still unknown.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Too much uncertainty to bet on that game, imo. It's currently up in the air whether Schaub, Green, or Johnson will play for Houston.

[/ QUOTE ]

Schaub is out, Johnson is "85%" and expected to play, Green is still unknown.

[/ QUOTE ]

McCown starting for Oakland now, as well. Who knows what will happen in this game. Under 41.5 good, maybe?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

http://www.sagestats.com/img/graph/s...c4c7089d7f.pngSageStats ensign_lee

YTD: 19-26-2
Units Won: -12.15

(one of my losing 3 unit teasers hasn't updated yet)

~~~

Houston Texans +3 (-110)
2 units at BetTrojan
This falls into the system play where you bet on the underdog with a better record than the opponent. I was going to make this a one unit play, but I got a price that was only 1 cent away from what Pinnacle would be willing to take if they held the position (they're offering Oakland -109), which is much better than what I can get elsewhere in the market, so I upped my bet size.

The Texans don't lose a lot by having a healthy Sage Rosenfels come in rather than an injured Matt Schaub. He's been in this offense since Kubiak's regime started, and has shown that he can work with the current starting receivers; heck, many of them were on second string with him not that long ago.

I might try to scalp this back down to one unit later, if I can, and get myself a better price. We'll see.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

I like Houston too here. They scored 35 against Tennessee and kept within a TD from Indy. Raiders aren't capable to do any of those.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/04/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD (inc. NE @ IND) **
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Too much uncertainty to bet on that game, imo. It's currently up in the air whether Schaub, Green, or Johnson will play for Houston.

[/ QUOTE ]

Schaub is out, Johnson is "85%" and expected to play, Green is still unknown.

[/ QUOTE ]

Schaub is definitely out. Johnson won't play. Green probably won't play.