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Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
20 minutes in, and I don't know anything about villain. I doubled up early with a flopped set to top pair.
Is this turn bet standard, and if so how do we act to any resistance be it a check minraise or a committal raise like villains. Table '58622867 3' 9-max Seat #3 is the button Seat 1: waynecoal (2760 in chips) Seat 2: bjorns (4540 in chips) Seat 3: goldi100 (1880 in chips) Seat 4: RRRULA (3950 in chips) is sitting out Seat 6: Georgy177 (2820 in chips) Seat 7: Einoeloclee (1640 in chips) Seat 8: HERO (5590 in chips) Seat 9: xenon75a (3820 in chips) RRRULA: posts small blind 15 Georgy177: posts big blind 30 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to HERO [Ac Kd] Einoeloclee: calls 30 HERO: raises 105 to 135 xenon75a: folds waynecoal: folds bjorns: folds goldi100: folds RRRULA: folds Georgy177: calls 105 Einoeloclee: calls 105 *** FLOP *** [8c 9h 5c] Ecky_Z is connected Georgy177: checks Einoeloclee: checks HERO: checks *** TURN *** [8c 9h 5c] [Ks] Georgy177: checks Einoeloclee: checks HERO: bets 240 Georgy177: raises 840 to 1080 |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
I would bet turn also but maybe a little more. on turn i cant see doing anything besides shoving but maybe that's bad
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
shove and pray.
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
as played I guess we have to be scared of 2 pair, MAYBE a set? you are only risking about half your stack with what I think is good more than 50% of the time...but I still cant come up with a hand for the villan to just call out of the bb but has us beat...88,99, 89? 10 J could be likely and is hoping you fold but if not they have outs...you have not shown a lot of stregnth this hand...BUT have shown AK to be pretty likely...
cliff notes...I reluctantly call or shove... |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
for those in the shove and pray camp what hand range do you put villain on?
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
he puts you on AK due to PF and flop line, he is raising the turn thus can beat AK.
Since you have AK you can FOLD. |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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he puts you on AK due to PF and flop line, he is raising the turn thus can beat AK. Since you have AK you can FOLD. [/ QUOTE ] i agree! |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
edit: i thought u had nut flush draw for some reason....hmm it gets closer then, not sure what i do..
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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he puts you on AK due to PF and flop line, he is raising the turn thus can beat AK. Since you have AK you can FOLD. [/ QUOTE ] This is what I was trying to say...but somehow that led me to still call...is that crazy (stupid?)...I also look at the result IF I lose I still have my starting stack at 15-30...is this also a bad way to look at things...??? |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
does anyone here not bet this turn? I also think my bet size should have been more in the 280-340 range.
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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does anyone here not bet this turn? I also think my bet size should have been more in the 280-340 range. [/ QUOTE ] everyone bets this turn...no one has shown even a little stregnth and you have TPTK...its after the reraise that is the question... |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
Shaun,
What made hand checks this flop? Did he turn 2 pair/would he check it? Would 6c7c take this line? Kxcc? |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] he puts you on AK due to PF and flop line, he is raising the turn thus can beat AK. Since you have AK you can FOLD. [/ QUOTE ] This is what I was trying to say...but somehow that led me to still call...is that crazy (stupid?)...I also look at the result IF I lose I still have my starting stack at 15-30...is this also a bad way to look at things...??? [/ QUOTE ] very bad to make -ev moves cuz if the few times you are right and you have best hand that you are happy. Getting an early double is way more valuable then most people realize. Giving that right back is much more painful then most people realize. |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
People are rarely bluffing/semibluffing when they c/r there. It's almost always a made hand, and it's usually better than AK. Fold.
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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[ QUOTE ] he puts you on AK due to PF and flop line, he is raising the turn thus can beat AK. Since you have AK you can FOLD. [/ QUOTE ] i agree! [/ QUOTE ] me too, although i'm curious as to what kind of hand villain has to make such an over-raise. |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] he puts you on AK due to PF and flop line, he is raising the turn thus can beat AK. Since you have AK you can FOLD. [/ QUOTE ] This is what I was trying to say...but somehow that led me to still call...is that crazy (stupid?)...I also look at the result IF I lose I still have my starting stack at 15-30...is this also a bad way to look at things...??? [/ QUOTE ] very bad to make -ev moves cuz if the few times you are right and you have best hand that you are happy. Getting an early double is way more valuable then most people realize. Giving that right back is much more painful then most people realize. [/ QUOTE ] That is one of the biggest leaks I have, I guess...curiousity... |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
Shaun, I 100% agree and I think villains range has us killed. That said for those who call here or shove, (maybe no one does) what does villain show up with?
also, if villain check raises from 240 to 620 is it as much of an instamuck? |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
I think it is 40% of the time a bluff or 2 clubs...60% a set or straight...MAYBE 2 pair (89) but less likely for some reason.
The smaller bet to me would look stronger, but we either think we are ahead or behind, so call, shove, fold is still the same decision. |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
nath I think he's just setting up a good river shove amount for value.
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
I would fold. Unless villian is an idiot it should be transparent that you have AK with your flop check. I doubt very much villian has KQ, KJ, etc. The only logical hand that he may have that you beat is KcXc, otherwise he has two pair, a set, or a flopped straight.
With the turn bet size it appears that he will move all in on the river. Bruce |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
Its a multiway pot, its unlikely hes bluffing, just fold
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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nath I think he's just setting up a good river shove amount for value. [/ QUOTE ] With what? asks the pariah... |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
Bump...cause i want to hear some ranges
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Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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Bump...cause i want to hear some ranges [/ QUOTE ] "hands that beat what he puts us on, which is what we have" |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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[ QUOTE ] Bump...cause i want to hear some ranges [/ QUOTE ] "hands that beat what he puts us on, which is what we have" [/ QUOTE ] Was villain going for the c/r twice on a drawy board? |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Bump...cause i want to hear some ranges [/ QUOTE ] "hands that beat what he puts us on, which is what we have" [/ QUOTE ] Was villain going for the c/r twice on a drawy board? [/ QUOTE ] look, just because donk's lines don't make any sense to you doesn't mean that isn't how they play a lot of you need to learn this |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Bump...cause i want to hear some ranges [/ QUOTE ] "hands that beat what he puts us on, which is what we have" [/ QUOTE ] Was villain going for the c/r twice on a drawy board? [/ QUOTE ] look, just because donk's lines don't make any sense to you doesn't mean that isn't how they play a lot of you need to learn this [/ QUOTE ] QFMFT Please go preach this in SSMTT |
Re: Stars 109 FO, Level 2 Weird Spot
Does anyone C-bet flop like 200? I usually would. I think this would help in playing turn too.
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