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-   -   J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=425376)

Teh1337zor 06-11-2007 07:15 PM

J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $98.60
BB: $634.70
<font color="black">UTG: $1,529.65</font>
MP: $174.65
<font color="black">Hero (CO): $323.75</font>
<font color="black">BTN: $466.50</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $12.00</font>, MP folds, Hero calls $12.00, BTN calls $12.00, 2 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($42) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $30.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN calls $30.00</font>, UTG folds
<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($102) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($102) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $125.00</font>

from a 26/16/3.5 showed down a big bluff earlier when he r/r AI with a busted open ender on the river

Nielsio 06-11-2007 07:32 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
Alternative line: bet 60% on flop and 60% on turn, and c/f river?

delta k 06-11-2007 07:33 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Alternative line: bet 60% on flop and 60% on turn, and c/f river?

[/ QUOTE ]

wtf?!?! lol

VanBeek 06-11-2007 07:36 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
Against this player you have too call and make a note.
Also, bet the turn and buy in full.

xSCWx 06-11-2007 07:36 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
I had a very similar hand to this earlier, I called and he had kings.

I think most of the time you are looking at bottom set or overs with a missed flush draw.

VanBeek 06-11-2007 07:38 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Alternative line: bet 60% on flop and 60% on turn, and c/f river?

[/ QUOTE ]
First you give straight and flushdraw good odds, then you fold when they miss and bluff???

Teh1337zor 06-11-2007 07:40 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Against this player you have too call and make a note.
Also, bet the turn and buy in full.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah I usually reload to full this is right after a hand and I did it late and it wouldnt let me do it while a hand was in progress

berserk 06-11-2007 07:49 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
Against a reg I think he has an 8 here almost always. The overbet is to get extra value when you look like you've gone into check-call mode to beat missed draws.

So, fold.

VegasRunner 06-11-2007 07:54 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
Call and make a note.

I like the call. There is a small chance he's got the 8, but I think he missed his draw. If he doesn't have an 8 and he is ahead of you, he probably wouldn't (shouldn't?) have given a free card on the turn.

donkmagic 06-11-2007 08:26 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
why not bet the turn?

Josh. 06-11-2007 09:05 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
foldo

Pasterbator 06-11-2007 09:12 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
he has an 8 always.

Teh1337zor 06-11-2007 09:18 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
I called and he showed Ac6c

Pasterbator 06-11-2007 09:19 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
he has an 8 sometimes

[/ QUOTE ]

FMP

Teh1337zor 06-11-2007 09:27 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
lolol

CastlesMadeASand 06-11-2007 09:29 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
ya i dont like preflop.

Teh1337zor 06-11-2007 09:37 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
ya i dont like preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

is calling with this hand from the CO really that bad?

Mench 06-11-2007 09:38 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
i call here most of the time, but i am a HUGE station.

roo400 06-11-2007 09:44 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
I did read some replys saying he has an 8 here often. It's easy to say that was wrong after seeing the results, but I don't know how you guys say that a reg has an 8 almost always here. You really think a reg calls with an 8 on the flop??? I'd love to play that reg any day of the week if that's what you're implying.

edit: oh yea, his flop call is a draw almost always here and not a combo one since he should be raising the flop, so bet turn to cut some of his odds and c/c river

jsnipes28 06-11-2007 09:48 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I had a very similar hand to this earlier, I called and he had kings.

I think most of the time you are looking at bottom set or overs with a missed flush draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

so u mean its either KK, bottom set, or missed overs with a flush draw? hmmm

AAismyfriend 06-11-2007 10:24 PM

Re: J10 flops top pair call river overbet from possible missed draws?
 
[ QUOTE ]
ya i dont like preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you like folding or 3 betting? I'm confused. Also, I don't think a reg is calling this flop with an 8, so I think his range on the river should be heavilly weighted towards missed draws, and you should call and feel good about it.


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