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-   -   600NL: QJs (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=376373)

Kristian 04-11-2007 08:22 PM

600NL: QJs
 
Please comment on any part of this hand. It made me unhappy. Villain is 23/12/4.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

MP ($905)
Hero ($591)
Button ($1384)
SB ($609)
BB ($589.85)
UTG ($525)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $18</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $18, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $12.

Flop: ($57) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $45</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $120</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $75.

Turn: ($297) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $245</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $542

dchz 04-11-2007 08:52 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
do you think you have no FE on the flop 150bb deeP

Kristian 04-11-2007 08:55 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Yes, that's what I feared. Maybe I was too pessimistic.

tufat23 04-11-2007 08:56 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
bb is repping a pretty strong hand, his preflop numbers are kinda nitty so i guess 66 is right there.

i think i gamble, but i understand your line

Eagles 04-11-2007 09:00 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
I shove the flop for sure. He can def c/r worse draws here.

True 04-11-2007 09:02 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
bb is repping a pretty strong hand, his preflop numbers are kinda nitty so i guess 66 is right there.

i think i gamble, but i understand your line

[/ QUOTE ]

IMO his pf numbers are not much different from a 24/20 in this spot.

I actually think he is more likely to repop JJ pf and less likely to repop AK pf which actually favours our hand here. (given he can fold AK or AQ). If we also imagine that vill can't have a better FD (in terms of equity against our hand since we have a pair with ours) then I think a shove makes sense.

His aggro number aswell is high which means he may overvalue hands and be a more betty/foldy type person.

True 04-11-2007 09:03 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
I shove the flop for sure. He can def c/r worse draws here.

[/ QUOTE ]

calling might be better vs worse draws

wdead 04-11-2007 10:08 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
you played this hand fine

SuperPokerJedi 04-11-2007 10:23 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
his preflop numbers are kinda nitty

[/ QUOTE ]

but this is post-flop no?? !?

RiverHebrew2 04-11-2007 10:34 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
With position, I don't mind your flop flatcall. However, I would normally 3bet this to $375 and obv call shove. This is jus becuzc, IMO, you HAVE to make your hand on the turn or face a big bet, pricing you out. If you think about it, flop is reraise/call shove or fold. * on a side note- J or diamond on the turn=11 outs x2= 22% to make a hand then.

Maulik 04-11-2007 10:39 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
I don't think an Ace would c/r flop. UTG can't count on you to bet when checked to and risk giving a free card. Similarly, a set isn't going to play this way either.

I think if you 3bet, it makes your hand look stronger but won't get him to fold his Ace (I think that's what he's representing).

When you are c/r on the flop like this, I think you need to make a plan for blank turns such as what you were given. Flop chk/raise is going to be followed up by a turn lead and if you "float" here you're not going to put in a bet on the turn with your weak hand and you're giving him a free shot at the pot?

Either fold to flop c/r or 3b; otherwise you'll be playing an expensive guessing game. Since his hand looks inconsistent with something strong I'd 3b.

ArturiusX 04-12-2007 12:06 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
I shove, he's more likely to make a mistake.

JKratzer 04-12-2007 12:12 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
you played this hand fine

[/ QUOTE ]

JOHNY CA$H 04-12-2007 12:22 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Re raising and getting it on on the flop is an option.

As played, I don't see how else you can play the turn.

Hoopster81 04-12-2007 12:23 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
do you think you have no FE on the flop 150bb deeP

[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Yes, that's what I feared. Maybe I was too pessimistic.

[/ QUOTE ]

Stacks look to be 100bb to me

I shove this flop all day

duh 04-12-2007 12:29 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
just felt this hand on the flop while you have lots of equity.
Or checkbehind (meh).

You need to get to the river, and he won't let you do that by just calling his c/r, as you already know he's shoving turn MOST of the time, pricing you out.

Thousandair 04-12-2007 12:39 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
reasons to call: you think u have better draw, want to keep him on his and stack him when u both hit or Q high takes pot on riv.

reasons to raise: large FE, pair+nice FD is always pushable

I shove personally

Big_Jim 04-12-2007 12:50 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Do you guys really think a lot of people c/r fold here with a bare A?

JKratzer 04-12-2007 12:58 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do you guys really think a lot of people c/r fold here with a bare A?

[/ QUOTE ]

no

Hoopster81 04-12-2007 01:02 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do you guys really think a lot of people c/r fold here with a bare A?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, I think a lot of people are c/r here with all kinds of outlandish [censored] and will follow up and fire this turn with high frequency.

If you're playing in the same games I am, c-bets are raised/checkraised with such frequency now that shoving this flop is essential just to keep these people off your back. Also, even when called and slightly behind, shania/meta considerations make this +EV imo.

Big_Jim 04-12-2007 01:31 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Do you guys really think a lot of people c/r fold here with a bare A?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, I think a lot of people are c/r here with all kinds of outlandish [censored] and will follow up and fire this turn with high frequency.

If you're playing in the same games I am, c-bets are raised/checkraised with such frequency now that shoving this flop is essential just to keep these people off your back. Also, even when called and slightly behind, shania/meta considerations make this +EV imo.

[/ QUOTE ]
Is it weird that my first instinct when I saw this hand was "shove the turn for value" ?

I definitely agree with what you're saying about metagame though, and the fact that our bet just looks like a position bet makes him even more likely to c/r with cheese.

sauce123 04-12-2007 01:42 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Id just shove flop

Thousandair 04-12-2007 02:55 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Do you guys really think a lot of people c/r fold here with a bare A?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, I think a lot of people are c/r here with all kinds of outlandish [censored] and will follow up and fire this turn with high frequency.

If you're playing in the same games I am, c-bets are raised/checkraised with such frequency now that shoving this flop is essential just to keep these people off your back. Also, even when called and slightly behind, shania/meta considerations make this +EV imo.

[/ QUOTE ]
Is it weird that my first instinct when I saw this hand was "shove the turn for value" ?

I definitely agree with what you're saying about metagame though, and the fact that our bet just looks like a position bet makes him even more likely to c/r with cheese.

[/ QUOTE ]

shoving the turn for value seems like a bad idea. The guy is pot committed with AX. The only value of shoving the turn is worse draws calling - who I think come along on the flop anyways if we shove.

Hoopster81 04-12-2007 03:15 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[censored], I misread the OP and thought we were pfr

I think the way OP played it is generally best here

Sometimes players like Villain will freeze up on the turn even with a pretty good hand and let you see the river for free

chef 04-12-2007 03:39 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
I really thinks this is an excellent spot to shove.

Big_Jim 04-12-2007 03:43 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
shoving the turn for value seems like a bad idea. The guy is pot committed with AX. The only value of shoving the turn is worse draws calling - who I think come along on the flop anyways if we shove.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yah, I know, but I just thought that it was such a likely bluff, and stack sizes suck for a river bluff+he's committed with draws.

Then I realized that he doesn't need to show up with the best hand very often to make that play suck, and he needs to have a good chunk of air, which he probably doesn't.

rode 04-12-2007 04:51 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
i play it the same.
you can make a easy call for 75$ on the flop and he has for sure a strong hand with that he is willing to put his stack in, if you make your flush. i dont think you have much FE and if its a move, he will give up on the turn.

the only problem about calling is, if he is on a worse flushdraw and bets strong on the turn again...

Trix 04-12-2007 11:27 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Seems fine to me.

TalentedTom 04-12-2007 11:30 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
shove any gutshot flush draw but not a hand where we only have "opmistic outs"

duh 04-13-2007 06:53 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Is taking a free card here really bad 3 handed? (If so, plz explain why)

It seems like charging yourself to draw, when you risk being checkriased with air/trash ( especially if Ax isn't in your cold call range pre) is not optimal. Or do we just have SOOOO much equity that it doesn't matter?

Kristian 04-13-2007 07:37 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is taking a free card here really bad 3 handed? (If so, plz explain why)

It seems like charging yourself to draw, when you risk being checkriased with air/trash ( especially if Ax isn't in your cold call range pre) is not optimal. Or do we just have SOOOO much equity that it doesn't matter?

[/ QUOTE ]

Do I understand correctly that you mean checking behind on the flop? That would be a disaster IMO, since we are so likely to draw out, even if they don't fold. I view it as a free shot at the pot really, with all that equity behind. As it went, this hand did not exactly go as planned [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

duh 04-13-2007 07:45 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is taking a free card here really bad 3 handed? (If so, plz explain why)

It seems like charging yourself to draw, when you risk being checkriased with air/trash ( especially if Ax isn't in your cold call range pre) is not optimal. Or do we just have SOOOO much equity that it doesn't matter?

[/ QUOTE ]

Do I understand correctly that you mean checking behind on the flop? That would be a disaster IMO, since we are so likely to draw out, even if they don't fold. I view it as a free shot at the pot really, with all that equity behind. As it went, this hand did not exactly go as planned [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

[/ QUOTE ]

Then you must felt this hand if you bet at all, right? Seems like you MUST felt, b/c you face a real risk of being pushed out with air/worse draw/garbage ace.

Kristian 04-13-2007 07:56 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is taking a free card here really bad 3 handed? (If so, plz explain why)

It seems like charging yourself to draw, when you risk being checkriased with air/trash ( especially if Ax isn't in your cold call range pre) is not optimal. Or do we just have SOOOO much equity that it doesn't matter?

[/ QUOTE ]

Do I understand correctly that you mean checking behind on the flop? That would be a disaster IMO, since we are so likely to draw out, even if they don't fold. I view it as a free shot at the pot really, with all that equity behind. As it went, this hand did not exactly go as planned [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

[/ QUOTE ]

Then you must felt this hand if you bet at all, right? Seems like you MUST felt, b/c you face a real risk of being pushed out with air/worse draw/garbage ace.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, I don't agree. Why do I face this risk particularly for this type of flop? I don't see why these hands are suddenly very likely to push me out of this pot.

duh 04-13-2007 07:59 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't see why these hands are suddenly very likely to push me out of this pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

You folded your monster didn't you?

Kristian 04-13-2007 08:13 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Second pair with 9 outs to a flush on the turn does not constitute a monster IMO. Obviously, this hand is not a good example of why to bet this flop.

Big_Jim 04-13-2007 08:33 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is taking a free card here really bad 3 handed?

[/ QUOTE ]
No.

duh 04-13-2007 08:39 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
it was a monster on the flop..

remember, i was one who said jam the flop in the first place.

I'm just thinking (in retrospect) that if you're folding on this turn, then maybe not betting flop IP might be an option.


itz late, i think i just realized why u want to fold turn, b/c it is a total brick and your equity went way down. I assume you're calling though if you hit Q or J? I guess it makes sense.

I just hate these spots though, cause you know that turn shove is coming like 95% of the time, and you really need to get to the river.


meh, i can't think str8. i'll re read the whole thread after sleep

Big_Jim 04-13-2007 08:40 AM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
[ QUOTE ]
That would be a disaster IMO, since we are so likely to draw out, even if they don't fold.

[/ QUOTE ]
If they both fold, you had the best hand, except for a freak KK fold by the PFR, or a KJ fold.

If you have the best hand, you're usually miles ahead.

[ QUOTE ]
I view it as a free shot at the pot really, with all that equity behind.

[/ QUOTE ]
Granted, you will take down the pot a ton, but that's not really a big gain, with this hand, for the above mentioned reasons.

Betting is standard, of course, since it's unlikely that you get c/red, and even when you do, you have options, but checking here a small percentage of the time can work wonders, sometimes.

Also remember than you might be able to pick off bluffs, or even value bet your J.

Also, it disguises your hand, since everybody expects you to bet a flush draw.

Maulik 04-13-2007 07:07 PM

Re: 600NL: QJs
 
Did you not shove because flop would be an overbet shove?


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