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-   -   Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=351803)

theBruiser500 03-10-2007 02:30 PM

Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
the shorstack is bad. money800, your assumptions about how money maker plays poker are probably right

PokerStars Game #8833423779: Hold'em No Limit ($10/$20) - 2007/03/10 - 13:26:45 (ET)
Table 'Nephele V' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: Festivuss ($2314 in chips)
Seat 2: Aspirador ($314.50 in chips)
Seat 3: Taraka ($2000 in chips)
Seat 4: BirdBoy100 ($2267 in chips)
Seat 5: Money800 ($2352 in chips)
Seat 6: thebruiser ($3592 in chips)
Festivuss: posts small blind $10
Aspirador: posts big blind $20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to thebruiser [As Ks]
Taraka: folds
BirdBoy100: folds
Money800: calls $20
thebruiser: raises $60 to $80
Festivuss: folds
Aspirador: calls $60
Money800: calls $60
*** FLOP *** [2d 8d Ts]
Aspirador: bets $234.50 and is all-in
Money800: calls $234.50
thebruiser: raises $565.50 to $800

restrikt 03-10-2007 02:40 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
ummm fold flop?

ActionJeff 03-10-2007 03:03 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
I don't like it because money is an idiot who probably can't get away from any hand that might improve on the turn

Reef 03-10-2007 03:16 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
don't like it assuming money is stationy

RiverFenix 03-10-2007 03:26 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
Bluffing a dry sidepot whose main pot you may have 25% equity?

Lefort 03-10-2007 04:15 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
*** FLOP *** [2d 8s Ts]?

[/ QUOTE ]

With all seriousness, I think its only close if you think Chris is folding 90%+ of the time. Otherwise its a pretty clear fold.

nichtgut 03-10-2007 04:37 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
I play 10/20 on Party so I don't know about the PS games, but I really don't know why you don't fold this flop. This play makes no sense to me.
/NG

Prime Time 03-10-2007 04:44 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
nice metagame play

KRANTZ 03-10-2007 04:53 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
the only thing i'minterested in is the results so i can see how meatheads play poker

[/ QUOTE ]

Jason Strasser (strassa2) 03-10-2007 05:03 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
the more i think about it the more i like it.

BalugaWhale 03-10-2007 06:01 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
i understand it, but i still dont like it

spino1i 03-10-2007 06:09 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
ugg.. looks like a large donation or way for moneymaker to play back at you to me.

Jman28 03-10-2007 06:44 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
I think it's okay. Obviously can't be hugely +EV, but Money folds a decent amount here I think.

I may prefer a call since raising might get him to push you off of a hand with 7-10 outs.

iRock 03-10-2007 07:21 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
I'm traveling till next weekend, but I have a really funny hand on my computer about a month ago where I raise the sb with AJ he repops from bb I call flop J82 or some bad flop..it goes about 8 bets and he gets it all in with ak no flush draw. he is an idiot...unless this is for value(which if it was I'd think you were the f'n man) I fold. I don't bluff idiots anymore.

fukkeneh 03-10-2007 07:41 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
the only thing i'minterested in is the results so i can see how meatheads play poker

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

my friend you took the words right out of my mouth.

FluffyTiger 03-10-2007 07:57 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
I [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] the bruisman. He does nothing but make amusing posts sprinkled with bitter seeds of truth and yet still can garner strat advice (because of perhaps?)

keep on keepin on

theBruiser500 03-10-2007 08:24 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
fukkeneh: FU

it would probably help to do someequity calculations here. money is a fish but maybe that just means he's making a loose/weak call on the flop.

theBruiser500 03-10-2007 08:25 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
plus i think my equity is pretty dcent vs the small stack. he almos tnever has a set or two pair. he could have like QJ, 9J, any flush draw. his most likely hand is probably top pair but against that if money folds i am getting 3:1

raptor517 03-10-2007 09:59 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
i think u can raise less and produce the same result.

theBruiser500 03-10-2007 10:05 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
yeah just thinking the same thing raptor, to $600

Joe Tex 03-10-2007 10:16 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
I really don't think moneymaker folds enough here to make this profitable

raptor517 03-10-2007 10:33 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
I really don't think moneymaker folds enough here to make this profitable

[/ QUOTE ]

i actually think he folds a ton here, and by reducing the bet size from 800 to about 650 or so, he can do it a lot more often and doesnt have to get moneymaker to fold nearly as much. i think its a great play used sparingly of course.

BobboFitos 03-11-2007 06:26 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
just fold the flop bruiza

cero_z 03-11-2007 11:23 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
plus i think my equity is pretty dcent vs the small stack. he almos tnever has a set or two pair. he could have like QJ, 9J, any flush draw. his most likely hand is probably top pair but against that if money folds i am getting 3:1

[/ QUOTE ]

--which would make it a slight losing play. So if Money folds less than 100%, and we assume he can nearly always beat AK when he calls, it's probably a big losing play.

Apathy 03-11-2007 01:05 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
plus i think my equity is pretty dcent vs the small stack. he almos tnever has a set or two pair. he could have like QJ, 9J, any flush draw. his most likely hand is probably top pair but against that if money folds i am getting 3:1

[/ QUOTE ]

right but he an easily have you crushed with pair + A,K kicker a lot.

Squareview 03-11-2007 03:20 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
plus i think my equity is pretty dcent vs the small stack. he almos tnever has a set or two pair. he could have like QJ, 9J, any flush draw. his most likely hand is probably top pair but against that if money folds i am getting 3:1

[/ QUOTE ]

--which would make it a slight losing play. So if Money folds less than 100%, and we assume he can nearly always beat AK when he calls, it's probably a big losing play.

[/ QUOTE ]

so because monkey maker folds less that 100% of the time and he can beat AK, its a "losing play"? 100% not true. and try useing words like -EV in the long run and not losing play. obv u have no clue what moneys range is here and the bruser is leaning twords a drawing hand, so why repop? also i think the raise to 800 is good, 600 might not get the fold that i think u want

0men 03-11-2007 03:59 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
fold flop.

theBruiser500 03-12-2007 03:20 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
you guys are so lazy. responses from people that play 2/4 nl "fold the flop" are not helpful. i know it's hard for people with such limited brain capacity, but try to remember to not do it again.

http://twodimes.net/poker/?g=h&b=td+...%0Atc+js%0D%0A

and pot odds are 3:1 so this is even money. if he has 9j i am 52% favorite, if he has 56 flush draw i am 42% to win the pot. 52% equity is a profit of $230. so let's say shorty mcLoser has semibluff half the time and a hand half the time, i win $125. say I actually raised to $600, so money needs to fold 80% of the time or so for it to be a profitable play (assuming i have no equity if he calls). in the hand money pushed all in with A5 flush draw

Heir_Aparent 03-12-2007 04:56 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
edit: oops

what did SS have

naivety\\\\\\\'s 03-12-2007 05:00 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
god 2p2 is full of meatheadz

theBruiser500 03-12-2007 12:03 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
T7

cero_z 03-13-2007 01:56 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
so because monkey maker folds less that 100% of the time and he can beat AK, its a "losing play"? 100% not true. and try useing words like -EV in the long run and not losing play. obv u have no clue what moneys range is here and the bruser is leaning twords a drawing hand, so why repop? also i think the raise to 800 is good, 600 might not get the fold that i think u want

[/ QUOTE ]

lol at your quibbling with semantics. I have no clue what money's range is? It's top pair+, OESD, or flush draw. Maybe 99/88 but probably not, since shorty's range is far and away weighted toward tens and flush draws. That's the problem in my mind with Bruiser's play; shorty has a T so often here, and a flush draw once in a while, but when he has a flush draw, money usually has a T.

Overfloater 03-13-2007 12:29 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
god 2p2 is full of meatheadz

[/ QUOTE ]

my meatpants are excited

intensity 03-14-2007 11:13 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
did you just get outplayed by moneymaker?

aggie 03-14-2007 02:36 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
you guys are so lazy. responses from people that play 2/4 nl "fold the flop" are not helpful. i know it's hard for people with such limited brain capacity, but try to remember to not do it again.

http://twodimes.net/poker/?g=h&b=td+...%0Atc+js%0D%0A

and pot odds are 3:1 so this is even money. if he has 9j i am 52% favorite, if he has 56 flush draw i am 42% to win the pot. 52% equity is a profit of $230. so let's say shorty mcLoser has semibluff half the time and a hand half the time, i win $125. say I actually raised to $600, so money needs to fold 80% of the time or so for it to be a profitable play (assuming i have no equity if he calls). in the hand money pushed all in with A5 flush draw

[/ QUOTE ]

I actually like moneymakers flop play here a lot more than i like bruisers....Bruiser doesn't have to fold much here to make this a very profitable play for money.

JonnyCosMo 03-14-2007 11:28 PM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
This is so ridiculously above my head so I'm just going to say that Danny is my hero and leave it at that.

g-p 03-15-2007 12:41 AM

Re: Fancy Play Syndrome 10/20 hand
 
well thanks for adding that


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