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-   -   Week-long prop bet (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=305072)

Nate. 01-12-2007 09:23 PM

Week-long prop bet
 
I have one week to turn $5 on PokerStars into $1000. No freerolls, just me on the account, no friends dumping to me, nothing sly or underhanded.

Currently at $5.22. Began at 8 PM EST.

--Nate

Heavens_Myst 01-12-2007 09:55 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
hopefully you will lose

alphatmw 01-12-2007 09:57 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
wow can i get in on the bet that you will lose?

ASPoker8 01-12-2007 09:57 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
hopefully you will lose

[/ QUOTE ]

and hopefully you will be banned

Oxy 01-12-2007 09:58 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
hopefully you will lose

[/ QUOTE ]

and hopefully you will be banned

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT


Good luck sir. SNGs permitted? I figure it can't be too hard once you get to ~150$.

Nate. 01-12-2007 09:58 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
Well, I'm down to $4.19, so it might not take long for you to get your wish.

--Nate

Heavens_Myst 01-12-2007 10:00 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
it was my dying wish..

Nate. 01-12-2007 10:00 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
hopefully you will lose

[/ QUOTE ]

and hopefully you will be banned

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT


Good luck sir. SNGs permitted? I figure it can't be too hard once you get to ~150$.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

Yup, SNGs are allowed. Big part of my plan. First I have to stop running so bad at $.02/$.04.

--Nate

DanFred2010 01-12-2007 10:02 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
MARTINGALE

snagglepuss 01-12-2007 10:05 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
ive been discussing a potential prop bet with a few of my friends. it basically is centered around playing hu 5$ hu nlhe sng's. how many out of 100 is a fair line?

also, one of my friends believes he can win over 75/100 hu plo8 5$sng on stars.

anyhow, good luck nate!

Nate. 01-12-2007 10:05 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
wow can i get in on the bet that you will lose?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think I have all the action I'm comfortable with for now.

BTW, this hand was funny.

PokerStars Game #7904241617: Omaha Hi/Lo Limit ($0.02/$0.04) - 2007/01/12 - 20:42:46 (ET)
Table 'Adria' 10-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: GrnBttdSkunk ($0.76 in chips)
Seat 2: 5oclockclub ($0.69 in chips)
Seat 3: auntie pete ($1 in chips)
Seat 4: luckynuts1 ($0.38 in chips)
Seat 5: harrison42 ($0.96 in chips)
Seat 6: Mortal Limit ($0.16 in chips)
Seat 7: Speargun ($0.40 in chips)
Seat 8: phungus ($1.57 in chips)
Seat 9: henk63 ($0.41 in chips)
Seat 10: network_man ($0.74 in chips)
auntie pete: posts small blind $0.01
luckynuts1: posts big blind $0.02
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mortal Limit [Ac Td Ad 5s]
harrison42: calls $0.02
Mortal Limit: raises $0.02 to $0.04
Speargun: folds
phungus: folds
henk63: folds
network_man: folds
GrnBttdSkunk: folds
5oclockclub: folds
auntie pete: calls $0.03
luckynuts1: folds
harrison42: calls $0.02
*** FLOP *** [5d 2s 4s]
auntie pete: checks
harrison42: bets $0.02
Mortal Limit: calls $0.02
auntie pete: calls $0.02
*** TURN *** [5d 2s 4s] [Qd]
auntie pete: checks
harrison42: bets $0.04
Mortal Limit: calls $0.04
auntie pete: calls $0.04
*** RIVER *** [5d 2s 4s Qd] [As]
auntie pete: checks
harrison42: bets $0.04
Mortal Limit: folds
auntie pete: calls $0.04
*** SHOW DOWN ***
harrison42: shows [6c 4d 7s 2d] (HI: two pair, Fours and Deuces; LO: 6,5,4,2,A)
auntie pete: mucks hand
harrison42 collected $0.20 from pot
harrison42 collected $0.19 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $0.40 | Rake $0.01
Board [5d 2s 4s Qd As]
Seat 1: GrnBttdSkunk folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: 5oclockclub (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: auntie pete (small blind) mucked [8s Kh Kd Kc]
Seat 4: luckynuts1 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: harrison42 showed [6c 4d 7s 2d] and won ($0.39) with HI: two pair, Fours and Deuces; LO: 6,5,4,2,A
Seat 6: Mortal Limit folded on the River
Seat 7: Speargun folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: phungus folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: henk63 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: network_man folded before Flop (didn't bet)

--Nate

brandysbich 01-12-2007 10:06 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
If you looking for more action, i'll take a small bet of my $250 to your $200 that you dont do it, seeing as tho you lost 1/6th your BR already.

Nate. 01-12-2007 10:07 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you looking for more action, i'll take a small bet of my $250 to your $200 that you dont do it, seeing as tho you lost 1/6th your BR already.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks, but I'm not comfortable taking more action on this right now.

--Nate

Nate. 01-12-2007 10:10 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
ive been discussing a potential prop bet with a few of my friends. it basically is centered around playing hu 5$ hu nlhe sng's. how many out of 100 is a fair line?

also, one of my friends believes he can win over 75/100 hu plo8 5$sng on stars.

anyhow, good luck nate!

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

BTW, If your friend is good and adjusts I think he's a favorite to win >75 of them. For a while I was running at approximately that clip at higher stakes. Admittedly small sample, but I also knew less about HU PLO8 than I do now.

--Nate

alphatmw 01-12-2007 10:30 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
care to share what kind of odds you have on the bet?

Nate. 01-12-2007 10:31 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
care to share what kind of odds you have on the bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Even money.

--Nate

bearcats54 01-12-2007 10:48 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
couldnt u have gotten more than even money? starting with only 5 bucks there is a pretty high shot of busto... if it was like 20 or something like that i can see even money.

samsdmf 01-12-2007 10:48 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
ive been discussing a potential prop bet with a few of my friends. it basically is centered around playing hu 5$ hu nlhe sng's. how many out of 100 is a fair line?

also, one of my friends believes he can win over 75/100 hu plo8 5$sng on stars.

anyhow, good luck nate!

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

BTW, If your friend is good and adjusts I think he's a favorite to win >75 of them. For a while I was running at approximately that clip at higher stakes. Admittedly small sample, but I also knew less about HU PLO8 than I do now.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]
I would go as far as saying and half decent SNGer should win over 70% at $5, if the few occasions I have played them are anything to go by the play is just laughable- and I suck

Nate. 01-12-2007 11:00 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
Update:

Down to $2.15.

Hail Mary: 2-tabling $1 NL.

--Nate

React1oN 01-12-2007 11:00 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
hopefully you will lose

[/ QUOTE ]

and hopefully you will be banned

[/ QUOTE ]

johnnyrocket 01-12-2007 11:42 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
for some motivation. The first time i bought on a poker site I bought in 50 dollars. I got down to 78 cents and made it up all the way to 16,000 from that low point just playing real smart. It can happen, just will your mind and you might be able to do it.

Nate. 01-12-2007 11:55 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
for some motivation. The first time i bought on a poker site I bought in 50 dollars. I got down to 78 cents and made it up all the way to 16,000 from that low point just playing real smart. It can happen, just will your mind and you might be able to do it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Motivation successful. Back to $5.22.

--Nate

grouchie 01-12-2007 11:56 PM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
change your avatar.
we all know Elway can't win the big one on his first try.

bearcats54 01-13-2007 12:10 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
thats true. go with favre.

updates?

Nate. 01-13-2007 12:13 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
thats true. go with favre.

updates?

[/ QUOTE ]

$4.25. Four-tabling $1NL.

--Nate

KentuckyWildcats 01-13-2007 12:31 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
new update plz

FoxwoodsFiend 01-13-2007 12:40 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
nate,

how the hell do you have a custom title and i don't?
also, i'm kinda pissed you did a prop bet without letting me get any action.

Nate. 01-13-2007 12:48 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
how the hell do you have a custom title and i don't?

[/ QUOTE ]

FF --

Dumb luck.

--Nate

Nate. 01-13-2007 12:49 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
new update plz

[/ QUOTE ]

$5.05. Almost exactly $.01/hr so far.

Pretty sure I overestimated my psychological tolerance for multitabling microstakes.

--Nate

Bantam222 01-13-2007 12:52 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
how much money did you bet on this?

Nate. 01-13-2007 12:59 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
how much money did you bet on this?

[/ QUOTE ]

$300.

--Nate

bearcats54 01-13-2007 01:04 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
i think u should just play nl holdem it would go faster.

Nate. 01-13-2007 01:04 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
also, i'm kinda pissed you did a prop bet without letting me get any action.

[/ QUOTE ]

So I actually feel bad about this. It was a spur-of-the-moment thing. If you want to take my side, you can get plenty of action here -- I'm at $5.15 as of the beginning of this post. If you want the other side... sure, I'll make an exception and give you a little action.

--Nate

KentuckyWildcats 01-13-2007 01:11 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
No NL is involved Nate?

tpir 01-13-2007 01:11 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
how much money did you bet on this?

[/ QUOTE ]

$300.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]
If $300 means that little to you can you stake me for the Sunday Million on Stars? Send money to tpir90036, thanks!

FoxwoodsFiend 01-13-2007 01:16 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
also, i'm kinda pissed you did a prop bet without letting me get any action.

[/ QUOTE ]

So I actually feel bad about this. It was a spur-of-the-moment thing. If you want to take my side, you can get plenty of action here -- I'm at $5.15 as of the beginning of this post. If you want the other side... sure, I'll make an exception and give you a little action.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]

can i get a hundo on you not doing it? i'll give you 1.3:1

Nate. 01-13-2007 01:25 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
also, i'm kinda pissed you did a prop bet without letting me get any action.

[/ QUOTE ]

So I actually feel bad about this. It was a spur-of-the-moment thing. If you want to take my side, you can get plenty of action here -- I'm at $5.15 as of the beginning of this post. If you want the other side... sure, I'll make an exception and give you a little action.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]

can i get a hundo on you not doing it? i'll give you 1.3:1

[/ QUOTE ]

Done.

--Nate

Nate. 01-13-2007 01:27 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
No NL is involved Nate?

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, right now I'm multitabling $1 NL.

--Nate

Nate. 01-13-2007 01:31 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
how much money did you bet on this?

[/ QUOTE ]

$300.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]
If $300 means that little to you can you stake me for the Sunday Million on Stars? Send money to tpir90036, thanks!

[/ QUOTE ]

$300 means plenty to me. I thought I was a pretty big favorite. Now I'm not so sure.

Anyway, somewhere along the line I got some gamble in me.

--Nate

FoxwoodsFiend 01-13-2007 02:05 AM

Re: Week-long prop bet
 
[ QUOTE ]

Anyway, somewhere along the line I got some gamble in me.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm proud of ya kiddo


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