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-   -   I fold trips to a fish... thoughts? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=276324)

good2cu 12-06-2006 02:00 AM

I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
Villian is 40/8/2 and appears pretty straight forward post flop.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $35</font>, Button calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($110, 3 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $66</font>, Button folds, BB calls.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($242, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $140</font>, Hero calls.

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($522, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $430</font>, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: $430 returned to BB.

Results:
Final pot: $522

winkandgun 12-06-2006 02:08 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
As played I fold the river and I hate life, but bet bigger on the turn and at that point you can probably fold to a shove.

Scott

philipsaurus 12-06-2006 02:09 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
i call river pretty quickly.

dtan05 12-06-2006 02:10 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
As played I fold the river and I hate life, but bet bigger on the turn and at that point you can probably fold to a shove.

Scott

[/ QUOTE ]

wtf? he didn't lead on turn?

good2cu 12-06-2006 02:12 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
Yes villian led turn

aejones 12-06-2006 02:13 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I'd call but not love it. Also how concerned are you about 56. It would seem like something I'd be concerned about, but I rarely see that donkbet from a draw on the turn, given the top card paired. I also don't think guys bet this underfull here that often, especially since trips just turned into a "full house." Therefore, I'd weight his range toward 97 and bigger 9s than 9T, but it wouldn't stop me from calling and snapping off 98 96 or random awfulness... ya dig?

dtan05 12-06-2006 02:15 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
g2, I think wink was saying that hero led turn.

winkandgun 12-06-2006 02:26 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
As played I fold the river and I hate life, but bet bigger on the turn and at that point you can probably fold to a shove.

Scott

[/ QUOTE ]


[ QUOTE ]
wtf? he didn't lead on turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

Oops misread my apologies, although I still think river is a fold.

THE_NER 12-06-2006 04:27 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I think this fold is good. This spot sucks, but if you havent seen the villian making any moves than this is a big hand almost all the time. Plus 65 got there too.

An interesting qusetion is do you call if the river is some random card like a Q?

Hoopster81 12-06-2006 04:29 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
Wow, I'm pretty sure I raise this turn almost always.

And I would call the river as played.

THE_NER 12-06-2006 04:35 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Wow, I'm pretty sure I raise this turn almost always.

And I would call the river as played.

[/ QUOTE ]

Raising the turn doesnt accomplish a whole lot. The board is relatively dry and if hes bluffing we dont want to scare him off.

He is a fish, but on the river it looks like hes expecting to get called and when he bets that big I think he has a very strong hand.

good2cu 12-06-2006 04:38 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think this fold is good. This spot sucks, but if you havent seen the villian making any moves than this is a big hand almost all the time. Plus 65 got there too.

An interesting qusetion is do you call if the river is some random card like a Q?

[/ QUOTE ]

yea I call if river blanks. 7 is the wrost card in the deck imo because his most likly bluffing hand on the turn(only bluffing hand?), and 97 now beats me.

freemoney 12-06-2006 04:40 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
i HATE this fold

ITILTEZ 12-06-2006 07:27 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
There is no way I'm folding this river. Just calling the turn is fine, but then you really need to call the river.

mikeJ 12-06-2006 07:38 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I like it. Even a fish won't be mistakenly value betting any worse hands than your trips on the river (except maybe 96/98), and you said he appears straightforward postflop. You beat a stonecold bluff.

cardsharkk04 12-06-2006 07:40 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I'm never folding here

Josh. 12-06-2006 07:43 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
his bet sizing looks like a bluff to me. a little small on the turn for his cheap river, then jacks it on the river when he realizes you're not too strong. it is possible though that he hit with 65

if the turn was the 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] i'd fold despite my read that i think he's bluffing, but when it puts a flush draw out, and with those stats, i have a hard time folding. i don't think it's terrible though. probably just a few bucks either wya

Grandezza 12-06-2006 07:48 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
Why would he lead the turn with a straight draw when the board pairs 9s, making it less likely he has a 9, giving him less folding equity?

stigmata 12-06-2006 08:06 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]


if the turn was the 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] i'd fold

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd fold too cos the deck would be rigged.

As for the hand this really really really looks like 56 to me - the cheap turn and then the big river. But that's obviously a pretty limited hand range. I fold if I haven't seen him get out of line ever, otherwise it really depends on how I feel about it at the time.

Josh. 12-06-2006 08:14 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Why would he lead the turn with a straight draw when the board pairs 9s, making it less likely he has a 9, giving him less folding equity?

[/ QUOTE ]


2 things. 1 is that i was thinking like 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] or gutter+flush draw. 2 is that it also makes it less likely for OP to have anything at all, and it gives him a legitimate card to represent

duh 12-06-2006 08:23 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
Am I the only one that autofolds in the heat of the moment?

Praetor 12-06-2006 09:03 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I would raise the turn and call the river

KRANTZ 12-06-2006 10:00 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
u [censored]-ing crazy son, he's a fish

KRANTZ 12-06-2006 10:01 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
if he happens to have you beat i say HAHA and stack his ass next hand when he overplays Q3o

Parlay Slow 12-06-2006 10:04 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I wouldn't ever fold here

CopTHIS 12-06-2006 10:10 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
This is one of those cases where villian could be value-betting a worse hand, like 98, but probably won't do that often enough. In other words, you need to think he is at least bluffing sometimes. Some fish never ever do this so it would be a fold against them, but I think I'd pretty much call this down every time to be honest.

ir0nphist 12-06-2006 10:59 AM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
I'd call. I think you're good here at least the 1 in 3 times you need to be.
There are a few hands that villain may think he's value betting here that you're ahead of. 98, 96s, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a strangely played TT-AA.

Bill King 12-06-2006 12:59 PM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
good2cu.. is villain 100bb's deep, or deeper? maybe less?

i think thats very important in this type of hand.

FoxwoodsFiend 12-06-2006 04:25 PM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
busy multi-tabling, haven't really read responses: has good2cu gotten to the part where he tells us it was a misclick yet?

AceCR9 12-06-2006 04:29 PM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I wouldn't ever fold here

[/ QUOTE ]

Megenoita 12-06-2006 06:45 PM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
Josh's argument that the river looks like a bluff is a good point, but I'd still def. fold, so I vote fold. And I want to see results b/c I'm a results-oriented fish.

berserk 12-06-2006 06:50 PM

Re: I fold trips to a fish... thoughts?
 
[ QUOTE ]
i call river pretty quickly.

[/ QUOTE ]


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