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-   -   JJ river donk against TAGy (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=265067)

sharpie 11-21-2006 04:21 AM

JJ river donk against TAGy
 
29/21/1.7 over 117. In a previous hand I 3 bet heads up from the BB PF, flop came AKx, he called flop and turn and raise/folded a blank looking river.

PokerStars 5/10 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG caps</font>, Hero calls, BB calls.

Flop: (12.40 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB folds, UTG calls.

Turn: (8.20 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (10.20 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero???

joker122 11-21-2006 04:42 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
what hand are you hoping to see?

sharpie 11-21-2006 04:47 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
AQs or a worse pocket pair one time in 12? It is a perfect card to bluff if he made it here with those..

PokerSparky 11-21-2006 04:47 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
I call.

joker122 11-21-2006 05:03 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
hm...given the pf and flop action his AK might as well be face up, imo. the only other hand that might cap preflop 3 handed, lead the flop, and not 3bet the flop is TT...?

RedBaron__ 11-21-2006 05:09 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
I'd call, but I'm not sure we see bluff here often enough to justify this.

PokerBob 11-21-2006 07:18 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
you're never winning here.

Kwaz 11-21-2006 08:34 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
[ QUOTE ]
In a previous hand I 3 bet heads up from the BB PF, flop came AKx, he called flop and turn and raise/folded a blank looking river.


[/ QUOTE ]

This is enough for me to call this river.

raze 11-21-2006 09:17 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
If he's bluff-raising rivers, I call for sure. Even if he's not, JJ is worth a call.

TheGunner 11-21-2006 09:18 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
What can he have besides AK?

CourtJester 11-21-2006 12:40 PM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
i want to call everytime here, but i cant see a hand he caps and calls down here that you're beating, as TT is raising somewhere b4, maybe AQd, but doesnt seem likely, so i really really want to fold, dont know if i would though [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

TomBrooks 11-22-2006 04:17 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
Sounds like this guy can be tricky. Worth a call I think. Pot is 11BB.

Bullitos 11-22-2006 11:51 AM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
If the guy wasn't tricky you should just lay this down. I would call this for my own sake though and hate the river one more time.

duckman 11-22-2006 12:18 PM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
[ QUOTE ]
you're never winning here.

[/ QUOTE ]
He has AK and is correctly value betting - fold

ILOVEPOKER929 11-22-2006 12:22 PM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're never winning here.

[/ QUOTE ]
He has AK and is correctly value betting - fold

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree with a river fold. This guy may have a hand like 88,99,TT and figured that hes got a calling hand anywyas might as well bet the scare card. Or he could have a hand like AdQd and is just trying to make a play. I agree the hero's hand sux once the villain bets the river cuz most of the time it will be AK, but I wouldnt fold. Getting 11-1 this is a very easy/profitable crying call IMO.

jba 11-22-2006 12:23 PM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
"
I disagree with a river fold. This guy may have a hand like 88,99,TT and figured that hes got a calling hand anywyas might as well bet the scare card. Or he could have a hand like AdQd and is just trying to make a play. I agree the hero's hand sux once the villain bets the river cuz most of the time it will be AK, but I wouldnt fold."

exactly what I was thinking, crying call time.

danzasmack 11-22-2006 01:00 PM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
if you look at last hand + pot size I'm pretty sure this is an easy call.

Superman26gt 11-22-2006 07:56 PM

Re: JJ river donk against TAGy
 
11:1 odds; Say he makes this move 11 times, do you think at least once he will have AQ or possibly worse?

I think so.


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