Two Plus Two Newer Archives

Two Plus Two Newer Archives (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Medium Stakes (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=58)
-   -   Simple call or fold (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=260237)

ahnuld 11-14-2006 04:41 PM

Simple call or fold
 
Villan in this hand isnt great but hes not horrible. My notes says he makes stupid obviously slightly more than pot bluffs on the river when I check to him. Just respond with a call or fold plz, ill understand why you think each.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($985)
SB ($849.55)
BB ($5118.05)
UTG ($1402.75)
MP ($945)
Hero ($1819.24)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $35</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $25.

Flop: ($75) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $60</font>, BB calls $60.

Turn: ($195) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks,
River: ($5953.05) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF"><font color="#CC3333">BB bets $150</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $500</font>, BB calls $5108.05 (All-In).

axioma 11-14-2006 04:43 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
fold.

Zag 11-14-2006 04:45 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
Call, given stack sizes. If your stack were close to his, fold.

KRANTZ 11-14-2006 04:47 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
this sucks.

call

cgrohman 11-14-2006 04:47 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
Fold.

KingGordy 11-14-2006 04:48 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
fold.

emil3000 11-14-2006 04:49 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
this sucks.

fold

[/ QUOTE ]

FoxwoodsFiend 11-14-2006 04:50 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
even i fold this

KRANTZ 11-14-2006 04:53 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
what are all you guys putting him on? straight flush draws c/r flop, so does KQ (and if KQ doesnt, 99 doesn't, which would also push this river)

the most realistic hand we lose to is KT and it would be the case T. the board makes a 4 straight so villain can definitely be shoving a big flush.

Kilillan 11-14-2006 04:54 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
yeah he could easily be value shoving nut flush here.

ddubois 11-14-2006 05:24 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
Turn king, hero checks. This makes villain think it's impossible you are full or have trips. So when he rivers his flush, he thinks there's no way you are full, and thinks his flush (or 99) is best. Only problem is his flush might be AsJs or Js9s.

EverettKings 11-14-2006 05:24 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
Fold. He is not 'value shoving the nut flush'.

To be sure, pay attention to timing. A quick push means only that A) he planned to 3 bet bluff all in, or B) he has the nuts.

If he took his time it could be anything, but still a pretty clear fold IMO. He'd have to be a pretty sick player to try to be trying to bluff you off a flush or small boat here. Most people lack the guts/ hand reading skills to try that.

Everett

DLizzle 11-14-2006 05:36 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
call quickly

ahnuld 11-14-2006 05:41 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
Turn king, hero checks. This makes villain think it's impossible you are full or have trips. So when he rivers his flush, he thinks there's no way you are full, and thinks his flush (or 99) is best. Only problem is his flush might be AsJs or Js9s.

[/ QUOTE ]


hes not 2+2 so this could be wrong. He may assume id slowplay if I filled up on the turn, I dunno.

gol4pro 11-14-2006 05:57 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
What are your exact call odds? I'd say anything worse than 2:1, its a fold, anything better, its a call.

Seems like he would really have to suck to push anything worse than a boat though.

EverettKings 11-14-2006 06:01 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
What are your exact call odds? I'd say anything worse than 2:1, its a fold, anything better, its a call.

Seems like he would really have to suck to push anything worse than a boat though.

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you say he 'really sucks' 33% of the time or less? I think he really sucks (or is getting goofy) a lot less than that, more like 15%. Without ~6:1 odds, it's a fold. I don't care what the exact odds are here, they're not close to 6:1. Clear fold.

Everett

BalugaWhale 11-14-2006 06:10 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
I call

ahnuld 11-14-2006 08:10 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
im getting about 2-1, its pretty close to a pot sized push. And my read at the time was he would likely CR KQ on the flop. I hadnt seen him do that per se, but he just seemed like that type of player.

luckychewy 11-14-2006 08:17 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
180bb's jeez...he'd have to be pretty bad to push a flush here. i just don't know why anyone would play a made hand slow on the flop/turn but it happens all the time, i fold this.

Josh. 11-14-2006 10:04 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
the only feasible way i can see you being ahead is if he ptus you on a straight or flush making a thin value raise and wants to push you off it, and i can see someone like you described doing this.

KTs is impossible to make given the exposed cards. your read is that he can't have KQ. if he doesn't have KQ he probably doesn't have 999. he would've played AJss and J9ss faster on the flop right (both are straight flushes now)? i assume he's not bad enough to call K9s prelfop. those are the only hands that beat you. you're getting laid odds, so you don't have to be that sure in your read, though to me it seems like a reliable one. so call

JKratzer 11-14-2006 10:09 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
fold

NfldPwns 11-14-2006 10:22 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
CAll- he wants to score on his flush...

NfldPwns 11-14-2006 10:24 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
sorry if he had ajs [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

luckychewy 11-14-2006 11:08 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
thinking this over i change my answer to a call.

PoppinFresh 11-14-2006 11:20 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
fold

Tony.T 11-14-2006 11:39 PM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
Im calling this

mj12 11-15-2006 12:21 AM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
I calls

john kane 11-15-2006 12:25 AM

Re: Simple call or fold
 
fold without a doubt. he can see your showing uber strength yet he re-strengths it back again. why? becuase he has you beat.

ahnuld 11-15-2006 01:05 AM

Results
 
Krantz pretty much summed up my thought process in the hand here

"what are all you guys putting him on? straight flush draws c/r flop, so does KQ (and if KQ doesnt, 99 doesn't, which would also push this river)

the most realistic hand we lose to is KT and it would be the case T. the board makes a 4 straight so villain can definitely be shoving a big flush. "

So I called praying I didnt get the one card that cost me 1700 bucks, but I did. He had KTo


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:05 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.