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-   -   Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet! (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=215692)

Toddy 09-19-2006 09:28 AM

Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Only 35 hrs til gametime! By the way. I could count on 1 hand how many things would interupt me from missing this challenge. Thanks Jurollo! The Career stats rock! Okay who is up for some prop bet fun?

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Misc Props

1. What will the winning score be?
Over/Under 58.5 pts

2. Will anyone in the challenge win an individual $20/180?
Yes +100
No -120

3. What time will the 1st $20/180 Start?
Over/Under 7:53*

4. Will the winner of the challenge be in the baller pool?
Yes -140
No +120

5. Will anyone make 2 Final Tables?
Even Money

6. Point difference between 1st and 2nd place?
Over/Under 4.5

7. There will be a repeat winner.(Pokerjoker,Shaundeeb,Hero,Skier)

Yes +400
No -500

[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Individual Props

More Points!

8. Shaundeeb/Toddy
9. WPTHERO/He H8TE ME
10. Hero in black/Skier
11. Bulldogmafia/BodyManD
12. EBO/Skier
13. Shaundeeb/WPTHERO
14. Twelver1232/Evil Eye 81
15. BodyManD/Whitenoler

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Team Props

16.WPTHERO&Shaundeeb vs. Skier&Toddy
17.HEH8TE ME & Hero in Black vs. EBO&Evil Eye 81
18.Twelver1232&BodyManD vs. BulldogMafia&Whitenoler
19.xIcecreamx&Hero in Black vs. Skier&EBO

[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Odds of winning!

20. Who will win?**

3:1
Field
7:1
Shaundeeb
9:1
WPT Hero
Skier
Toddy
Hero In Black
Ebo
10:1
He H8TE Me
Evil Eye 81
xIcecreamx
11:1
Twelver1232
Bulldogmafia
13:1
Whiternole
BodymanD

*Goes by Pokerstars Time
** I included all players that played in both tourneys accourding to Career Stats. I also tossed in a couple players that played just last week and finished in the top 10 for career. We can always make more.

Im up for some action!

Toddy 09-19-2006 09:31 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
I'll go Yes on #5 or Over on #3 if anyone wants in. Or if anyone wants to go against me on any individual or team action I'm up for that! Feel free to add props.

0evg0 09-19-2006 09:32 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

Toddy 09-19-2006 09:32 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

Toddy 09-19-2006 09:37 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'll go $20 with you individual. I dont' want to go too much because knowing me i'll have 80 different things going on.

0evg0 09-19-2006 09:38 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
I'll put $20 on shaun/Jurollo beating you/skier.

Toddy 09-19-2006 09:39 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'll put $20 on shaun/Jurollo beating you/skier.

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay sounds good. I was going to make up + x amount of pts but thats okay. You're on.. $20.. I'll make a post w/ everybet before 730 tomorrow.

0evg0 09-19-2006 09:49 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Okay, don't let me get ahead of myself or whatever.

God it feels good to have a semi-legit bankroll again to be able to do this kind of [censored].

I'm already jumping into the WCOOP sats.

Toddy 09-19-2006 10:21 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Okay, don't let me get ahead of myself or whatever.

God it feels good to have a semi-legit bankroll again to be able to do this kind of [censored].

I'm already jumping into the WCOOP sats.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ya nice job on that.

Body Man D 09-19-2006 10:25 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's the first tourney after 7:30.

Nez477 09-19-2006 10:27 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Okay, don't let me get ahead of myself or whatever.

God it feels good to have a semi-legit bankroll again to be able to do this kind of [censored].

I'm already jumping into the WCOOP sats.

[/ QUOTE ]

Go carebear yourself Eric. Seriously.

Toddy 09-19-2006 10:36 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's the first tourney after 7:30.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bodyman if u want to grab someone me and BulldogMafia will bet you and your partner for $20.

skier_5 09-19-2006 10:43 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

[/ QUOTE ]

if you won that, it woulda been AT<A8 (12 to go, for top 3 in chips) for me [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img] that cost me.

n1232 09-19-2006 12:44 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Is this 8pm EST Wednesday?

If so, I might do it. And if I do, I take myself in the prop bet dept.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is. Ya we can do some action. I have to get some money back after losing that $3000 coinflip last week.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's the first tourney after 7:30.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bodyman if u want to grab someone me and BulldogMafia will bet you and your partner for $20.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bodyman...I will get in with you on this bet if you want to team up.

Oh and 11 to 1 for me to win it....that is very inticing as well. Toddy, I may put $20 down on myself for that also.

Toddy 09-19-2006 12:53 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Okay let me know.. Ya if u guys want to go against us me and bulldog will put up $20.

tedtodd 09-19-2006 01:29 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
I'll put $20 on someone making 2 final tables. PM to confirm bet.

Toddy 09-19-2006 01:43 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'll put $20 on someone making 2 final tables. PM to confirm bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

we can do it here... Tedtodd u want to do $10? Kinda dumb since I hope to make 2 FTs but atleast its some action.

09-19-2006 02:14 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
can i get in on this?

edit: not the prop bets but the actual challenge..
editx2: and maybe some prop bets [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

Toddy 09-19-2006 02:16 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Of course! They'll post it tomorrow night. Its going to cost $110 to play in the 5 $20s and then either, $20,$60 or $160 depending on how many challenges u want to enter.

eBo 09-19-2006 02:25 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
P(An average player making at least 2 final tables out of 5 tournaments)=
1-P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys)-P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys)=

P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys) = .95^5 = .77
P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys) = 5 * .05 * .95^4 = .20

P(An average player making 2+ FT out of 5 tourneys)= 1-.77-.20 = .03

If there are 25 average players...
P(At least 1 player FT 2+ tourneys) = 1- P(25 players not FT 2+ tourneys) =
1-.97^25 = .533

Since the quality of players is better than average, this is a +EV bet.

I'll place as much money as I can on this one.

timex 09-19-2006 02:42 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
P(An average player making at least 2 final tables out of 5 tournaments)=
1-P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys)-P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys)=

P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys) = .95^5 = .77
P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys) = 5 * .05 * .95^4 = .20

P(An average player making 2+ FT out of 5 tourneys)= 1-.77-.20 = .03

If there are 25 average players...
P(At least 1 player FT 2+ tourneys) = 1- P(25 players not FT 2+ tourneys) =
1-.97^25 = .533

Since the quality of players is better than average, this is a +EV bet.

I'll place as much money as I can on this one.

[/ QUOTE ]

How much money is as much as you can?

Toddy 09-19-2006 02:48 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
P(An average player making at least 2 final tables out of 5 tournaments)=
1-P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys)-P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys)=

P(0 FT out of 5 tourneys) = .95^5 = .77
P(1 FT out of 5 tourneys) = 5 * .05 * .95^4 = .20

P(An average player making 2+ FT out of 5 tourneys)= 1-.77-.20 = .03

If there are 25 average players...
P(At least 1 player FT 2+ tourneys) = 1- P(25 players not FT 2+ tourneys) =
1-.97^25 = .533

Since the quality of players is better than average, this is a +EV bet.

I'll place as much money as I can on this one.

[/ QUOTE ]

How much money is as much as you can?

[/ QUOTE ]

BTW EBO this is so annoying that you went to the trouble to figure this out!!! LOL.. I was just picking numbers from the air. The funny thing is that I was originally going to make it -150 that a person will make 2 FTs!

Mi_T_Sharp 09-19-2006 03:26 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
LOL propbetaments.


JUST KIDDING!!!!!!

Toddy 09-19-2006 03:32 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
LOL propbetaments.


JUST KIDDING!!!!!!

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL

Jurollo 09-19-2006 04:14 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Guys,
I am in Des Moines, IA after 22 hours on the road. I wont be playing tomorrow. Next week I will like these props.
~J

tedtodd 09-19-2006 04:51 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'll put $20 on someone making 2 final tables. PM to confirm bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

we can do it here... Tedtodd u want to do $10? Kinda dumb since I hope to make 2 FTs but atleast its some action.

[/ QUOTE ]

haha- $10 is fine, unless u deem the line unfair. but it looks like Timex might take some action.

sucks- i played the challenge the first 3 weeks- but had golf last wed, and now soccer tomorrow night....next week i guess.

shaundeeb 09-19-2006 05:03 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
yah I was just about to post jurollo is on the oregon trail. I think hes able to kill buffalo's now and he was smart enough to bring 20 boxes of bullets.

On a side note I will bet even money myself vs any 2 players in the challenge you pick that I will have a higher score than either of their highest.

When you say the field 3 to 1? who does that include those not listed as individuals?

shaundeeb 09-19-2006 05:17 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
apparantly bonds and skier to vagina's are dripping too much for them to take my 2 vs 1 best off them bet for 1k. Anyone else want to challenge me?

bonds25 09-19-2006 05:32 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
apparantly bonds and skier to vagina's are dripping too much for them to take my 2 vs 1 best off them bet for 1k. Anyone else want to challenge me?

[/ QUOTE ]

That is a load of crap, skier is the one with the vagina, get your facts straight.

shaundeeb 09-19-2006 05:37 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
ahem like I said on AIM you must have mistaken your steroids for estrogen pills this week.

you're dripping.

bonds25 09-19-2006 05:53 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
ahem like I said on AIM you must have mistaken your steroids for estrogen pills this week.

you're dripping.

[/ QUOTE ]

I tried to get the bet going, skier wasnt down, wtf do u want from me?

shaundeeb 09-19-2006 06:03 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
find a diff partner

eBo 09-19-2006 06:45 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Shaun, I don't think your edge is that great to make that bet.

Toddy 09-19-2006 06:56 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
yah I was just about to post jurollo is on the oregon trail. I think hes able to kill buffalo's now and he was smart enough to bring 20 boxes of bullets.

On a side note I will bet even money myself vs any 2 players in the challenge you pick that I will have a higher score than either of their highest.

When you say the field 3 to 1? who does that include those not listed as individuals?

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes anyone not listed!

Toddy 09-19-2006 06:57 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
Shaun ill take me and Bulldog for [insert any price here]

Up to $200

Toddy 09-19-2006 06:59 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Guys,
I am in Des Moines, IA after 22 hours on the road. I wont be playing tomorrow. Next week I will like these props.
~J

[/ QUOTE ]

Cool since I do nothing all day at work. i'll take it upon myself to make these props every tuesday [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

09-19-2006 07:08 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
On a side note I will bet even money myself vs any 2 players in the challenge you pick that I will have a higher score than either of their highest

[/ QUOTE ]
im not sure now if im going to be able to play tomorrow, but if i am, i want in on this..

Toddy 09-19-2006 07:14 PM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
On a side note I will bet even money myself vs any 2 players in the challenge you pick that I will have a higher score than either of their highest

[/ QUOTE ]
im not sure now if im going to be able to play tomorrow, but if i am, i want in on this..

[/ QUOTE ]

SHH don't tip him off that this is an awful bet.I mean u may win it but in the long run theres no way

Body Man D 09-20-2006 02:21 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]

On a side note I will bet even money myself vs any 2 players in the challenge you pick that I will have a higher score than either of their highest.


[/ QUOTE ]

Body Man D & He H8te Mee vs. Shaundeeb for $100 [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Mi_T_Sharp 09-20-2006 03:29 AM

Re: Introducing: $20/180 Challenge Prop Bets!! Come in and bet!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

On a side note I will bet even money myself vs any 2 players in the challenge you pick that I will have a higher score than either of their highest.


[/ QUOTE ]

Body Man D & He H8te Mee vs. Shaundeeb for $100 [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j5...rp/nobrain.jpg


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