PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Same routine as before.

I'll post my current best estimate:

10:30 pm ET

I'll update this at 8:30 pm ET (or maybe earlier if it looks like things are going very fast).

Get together 45 to 60 minutes prior.

AIM works great. See you later.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Have you been able to get many tables going that consistently fold around?

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

What is the EV/table for this bonus? Like $.25??

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

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Have you been able to get many tables going that consistently fold around?

[/ QUOTE ]

Earlier, 6 of us were on 8 tables and had perfect, consistent folding going. Worked really well. If I'm around here later tonight when the next milestone approaches, I will post here and organize another group to do 8-table folding.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
What is the EV/table for this bonus? Like $.25??

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm guessing there's about 250-300 active tables during bonus time. With 6 people at the table, 5 get 2k, 1 gets 5k. 15k/6 people is 2.5k per person.

You have a 1/250 to 1/300 chance of getting it, which is $8-10 per table, I would assume by posting and folding, increase your chances at least 2x, so the EV should be much higher, eh?

Is there something wrong with my calculations?

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

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I'm guessing there's about 250-300 active tables during bonus time.

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There's currently over 9,000 active tables. Assuming half are play money and tourneys, that still leaves 4k+

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What is the EV/table for this bonus? Like $.25??

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm guessing there's about 250-300 active tables during bonus time. With 6 people at the table, 5 get 2k, 1 gets 5k. 15k/6 people is 2.5k per person.

You have a 1/250 to 1/300 chance of getting it, which is $8-10 per table, I would assume by posting and folding, increase your chances at least 2x, so the EV should be much higher, eh?

Is there something wrong with my calculations?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think your table calculation is off by a factor of 10. 9k active tables right now, even if 2/3rds are tourney/play money, thats still 3k tables.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

OK lets take 3K tables. Its worth about a buck per table at 6 max since the winner of the hand gets 5K. At 8 tables its now worth 8 bucks and by folding you increase your chance by 2.5 times so around 15-20 bucks per go around. Stars is doing this 30 and I will probably participate around 20 of them so there is probaly a 1:7 to 1:9 chance of getting 2K or more during the promotion. My roll is less than 1K, I need to take hour breaks twice a day, so its not so bad.

YMMV, but then again, I am king idiot during the party spooky tickets promotion, I am just addicted to free money.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

There are 9217 active tables right now, of these only about 1300 are cash ring games. This is much fewer than I expected.

The qustion is how many tables open up just before the milestone. I'll watch this next time.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

BTW, hands are moving a bit slow right now. Looks like the next milestone will be closer to 11:00 pm ET.

I'll post my final estimate between 8:30 and 9:00 ET (it depends when I can get free from other duties).

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What is the EV/table for this bonus? Like $.25??

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm guessing there's about 250-300 active tables during bonus time. With 6 people at the table, 5 get 2k, 1 gets 5k. 15k/6 people is 2.5k per person.

You have a 1/250 to 1/300 chance of getting it, which is $8-10 per table, I would assume by posting and folding, increase your chances at least 2x, so the EV should be much higher, eh?

Is there something wrong with my calculations?

[/ QUOTE ]
There's also the bonus for vip status. Up to 120% for supernova.

I just play fast rather than manipulate the game. I have a vague recollection that Paradise had a clause prohibiting schemes like this - Are you sure its allowed?

chez

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
I just play fast rather than manipulate the game. I have a vague recollection that Paradise had a clause prohibiting schemes like this - Are you sure its allowed?

chez

[/ QUOTE ]

Pokerstars gave their blessing to our little scheme [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

I'm guessing there's about 250-300 active tables during bonus time.

[/ QUOTE ]

There's currently over 9,000 active tables. Assuming half are play money and tourneys, that still leaves 4k+

[/ QUOTE ]

Very raw assumption. STT/MTT/Play money cash/Play money tournaments account for at least 75%. There are only about 200-250 holdem tables open right now.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

I'm guessing there's about 250-300 active tables during bonus time.

[/ QUOTE ]

There's currently over 9,000 active tables. Assuming half are play money and tourneys, that still leaves 4k+

[/ QUOTE ]

Very raw assumption. STT/MTT/Play money cash/Play money tournaments account for at least 75%. There are only about 200-250 holdem tables open right now.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm also going to venture to say that there's an absolute maximum of 1.5k max tables, with our EV still around $2 per table if we were playing as slow as everyone else, but at least $6 per table since we're folding ridiculously fast.

8 tables of this for 20 minutes is roughly 150 hourly, and fine with me.

All approximations of course.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

OK an early final prediction (forced by circumstance)

<font color="red"> 11:00 PM ET </font>

We should start arranging tables aboyt 45 minutes prior.

Ideally, set up AIM chat rooms (or the like) and form groups of 6, 9, or 10.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

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I just play fast rather than manipulate the game. I have a vague recollection that Paradise had a clause prohibiting schemes like this - Are you sure its allowed?

chez

[/ QUOTE ]

I asked PokerStars support if it was OK to openly agree to fold to the blinds as a milestone hand approached. They told me that they did not have a problem with it.

The gist of it was that (a) they felt that it was vulnerable to 1 guy wrecking it - stealing blinds - and (b) wouldn't increase the odds very much.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just play fast rather than manipulate the game. I have a vague recollection that Paradise had a clause prohibiting schemes like this - Are you sure its allowed?

chez

[/ QUOTE ]

Pokerstars gave their blessing to our little scheme [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
Fair enough, good luck then.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

The first day this promo came out I asked support if this was ok and they didn't have any problem with it. Thats why I was so eager to set it up last night

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

What limits are we looking at doing? I might need to deposit.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

I guess we will do it like we did last night, join the chat room "milestonehand" on AIM. I guess we will do whoever joins first gets priority?

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

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I guess we will do it like we did last night, join the chat room "milestonehand" on AIM. I guess we will do whoever joins first gets priority?

[/ QUOTE ]
Downloading it as we speak, didn't have aim on this comp.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

NVM

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

OK, I'll admit, I am AIM illiterate. How do you join a chat room?

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

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OK, I'll admit, I am AIM illiterate. How do you join a chat room?

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At the bottom of aim go to "chat" then change the chat room name from "Chat0928759087345" to "milstonehand" and invite yourself. Or just PM me your SN

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

I'm setting up a chat again as well, and we need 2 more people. IM me at "thing85" for an invite.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

We just lost one player so we need a 6th now, IM "xxxxxx"

Edit: My tables are full so join the chat

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

does anyone else want to get a group started with me? The original one is being like gay high school social click.....

Meet in AIM chat room "milestonehand2"

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

I need a group of 6 to join in with to post and fold in the next few minutes. IM me at BaltimoreGuy1129

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

I think we missed by 48

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Too many [censored] out tonight. Had 2 people timeout right before it on a couple tables.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Yep, PokerStars Game #4970000048: Hold'em Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2006/05/17 - 23:04:06 (ET)

I'm going to assume that's like 10 hands off or so, due to the high % of tournament and play tables.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Good try guys. Of course there was a misclick initially lol but pretty efficient folding. Waiting on silent to get his next prediction in now. 2+2 should be able to win at least one of these hands you'd think.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Bah, I got stuck at about 3 tables where people wanted to play through their hands at .5/1 limit. They'd rather win that 3 dollar pot than play for 2-5k. Morons.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Technically speaking if they had a decent hand I think it would be higher EV for them to go ahead and play the hand. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

Be sure to delete these hand history files or your PT stats will be ruined!

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

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Meet in AIM chat room "milestonehand2"

[/ QUOTE ]
I can't see how to join a chat room. I click on chat and it sets up for me to start and invite others to a chat room.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

I'm thinking these people are looking to make their 2K bonus by playing the hands while we all fold. +EV for them.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

47 hands short of the milestone over here playing NL10.

Won $23 over the last couple of days chasing the milestone, lol.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Meet in AIM chat room "milestonehand2"

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I can't see how to join a chat room. I click on chat and it sets up for me to start and invite others to a chat room.

[/ QUOTE ]

Invite yourself. Change the name of the chat.

Re: PokerStars hand # 4.97B milestone thread
 

OK, that worked. Thanks. No one is there now though. Feel free to PM me for the next one plus I'll keep an eye out here on the forum.
Cheers