Quote: not really a noob question, but this hand came up and made me go ?!?! somewhat relates to an earlier post too.
Fish limps on CO, Mr. Exploitable raises on button to 2.50, sb calls, i call with 99, fish calls.
Flop comes 323, checks to exploitable, he bets.
Exploitable stats are 26/20/4. He cbets 86% and folds the turn 70% over a 500 or 600 hand sample. Do you float or check raise here, or would you just assume he doesn't autocbet THAT much?
Also, how often do you float this guy? I think i was doing it about 40% of the time, so only 10-20% of the time with complete air.
SB was also fishy in this hand, 40/3 or something, CO fish was just 30/13 or something (which is unfortunately a fish in 50NL games at UB)....
With 99 on such a safe board, your play is to either c/r for value or c/c. I prefer c/r here. Although it allows the button to play more correctly (he folds everything worse), you don't want the other 2 guys overcalling with a draw and you can fold if he pushes over your c/r (which always means overpair or big draw). If the pot was HU you should probably just c/c and see what he does on the turn. --Isura
Isura, pot is $10, he bet $7, a modest check raise would be to $20 (half my stack). This would look weird because UB has a bet pot button that everyone uses. Can I really put in half my stack on the flop then fold if someone comes over the top? :/...