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General Gambling >> Sports Betting

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | >> (show all)
steelbase
member


Reged: 08/07/06
Posts: 130
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: b33nz]
      #7189653 - 09/06/06 05:06 AM

anyone like the idea of a teaser hedge for the people that got pit at -4.5 that don't feel like gambling the full $1,000 on massively reduced EV? This is what I was thinking.
Pinnacle 7 point teaser on Miami +8 and Seattle +1 at -120 since I think a tie in either event guarantees a push. So:

$1100-$1000 PIT -4.5
$545.46-$454.55 Miami +8 SEA +1
If PIT fails to cover, possible DET +6(+104) $218.53-$227.27

if PIT wins by 5,6, or 7 win the Mansion $1000 and still have a chance to win the teaser or further hedge the seattle game with a $218.53 bet on DET +6 for guaranteed $1227.27
if PIT wins by 8 I win $1000 and push my teaser
If PIT wins by 9+ I win $454.54
If Miami covers the 4.5 I can let the teaser ride or hedge for at least a guranteed $227.27 on DET +6 (and win the teaser and win/push the second hedge if Seattle wins by 1-6 for either $227.27 or $681.82)

However, if miami covers and DET wins by 1 w/o hedging the teaser you break even and if DET wins by 2+ then you lose $545.46.

I mean if you were going to hedge anyway and worst case miami covers so you hedge on det and profit the safe $227.27, that money is still greater than $0 if you let the pit bet ride and lost. Any thoughts?


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MyTurn2Raise
The drug-free MVP


Reged: 06/28/05
Posts: 18508
Loc: Evolving Day-By-Day
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: HesseJam]
      #7189712 - 09/06/06 05:18 AM

Quote:

OK, they just seemed to have taken it off:

************
Sportsbook Promotions

Pittsburgh Steelers 2006 Superbowl Champs Promotion

MANSION is proud to announce the success of our season-opening NFL Cash-Back promotion, which has given five thousand of our Members a unique opportunity to place bets on Pittsburgh Steelers of USD 1,100 to win USD 1,000 (or currency equivalent) in their season opener at home against an in form Miami Dolphins.

Betting on the promotion has now ended after reaching full subscription with 5,000 MANSION Members having taken part, wagering USD 5.5 Million in the cash-back offer on the Superbowl Champions, Pittsburgh Steelers to defeat Miami Dolphins this Thursday September 7th.

If the Steelers lose or fail to cover the point spread, MANSION will refund qualified Member individual bets of USD 1,100 (or currency equivalent) - presenting one of the most compelling season launching promotions by a betting company, with no strings attached and no rollover requirement. Naturally, should the reigning Super Bowl Champions beat Miami and cover the spread, MANSION will pay our Members over 5 Million in total winnings.

On paper, everything is there for the Steelers to become the ninth repeat champion in league history (and third in team history), but speculation on their 2006 regular season debut has been heightened, having struggled through a troubling off-season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers Promotion is further proof that MANSION is the home of choice and reward for our Members, and it "pays to belong” to take full advantage of the many best-in-value promotions and offers in sports wagering and first class member services.

MANSION wishes the best of luck to our Members who are participating in this promotion.
*************************




awesome...I just placed my bet 4 hours ago....i'm a lucky donk


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cardsharkk04
NIT


Reged: 03/28/05
Posts: 3331
Loc: move up or shut up
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: MyTurn2Raise]
      #7189766 - 09/06/06 05:30 AM

FCK

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Shrug
Pooh-Bah


Reged: 12/14/05
Posts: 1845
Loc: Gettin' my sheep on
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: cardsharkk04]
      #7189862 - 09/06/06 06:06 AM

Holy poopers!
I had just placed my wager (and the promo was up)...about 5 minutes later I saw this notice and nearly freaked.
A quick live chat (saved to email) with their awesome CS rep confirmed that I am definitely covered by the promo.
Whew!


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CharlieDontSurf
spoiler king


Reged: 04/01/06
Posts: 8355
Loc: Just call it. Friendo.
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: steelbase]
      #7189872 - 09/06/06 06:08 AM

Quote:

anyone like the idea of a teaser hedge for the people that got pit at -4.5 that don't feel like gambling the full $1,000 on massively reduced EV? This is what I was thinking.
Pinnacle 7 point teaser on Miami +8 and Seattle +1 at -120 since I think a tie in either event guarantees a push. So:

$1100-$1000 PIT -4.5
$545.46-$454.55 Miami +8 SEA +1
If PIT fails to cover, possible DET +6(+104) $218.53-$227.27

if PIT wins by 5,6, or 7 win the Mansion $1000 and still have a chance to win the teaser or further hedge the seattle game with a $218.53 bet on DET +6 for guaranteed $1227.27
if PIT wins by 8 I win $1000 and push my teaser
If PIT wins by 9+ I win $454.54
If Miami covers the 4.5 I can let the teaser ride or hedge for at least a guranteed $227.27 on DET +6 (and win the teaser and win/push the second hedge if Seattle wins by 1-6 for either $227.27 or $681.82)

However, if miami covers and DET wins by 1 w/o hedging the teaser you break even and if DET wins by 2+ then you lose $545.46.

I mean if you were going to hedge anyway and worst case miami covers so you hedge on det and profit the safe $227.27, that money is still greater than $0 if you let the pit bet ride and lost. Any thoughts?




this is interesting cuz u can actually double hedhe yr hedge if mia covers thus guaranteeing u get some money


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splashpot
Carpal \'Tunnel


Reged: 11/19/04
Posts: 5852
Loc: splashing
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: HesseJam]
      #7189896 - 09/06/06 06:18 AM

I wonder how many of those 5000 are from 2+2. At least half I'd say.

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Daleroxxu
addict


Reged: 06/27/06
Posts: 686
Loc: in your STTs spitecalling you!
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: HesseJam]
      #7189898 - 09/06/06 06:19 AM

i was just about to ship the money from neteller when the promotion disapeared.

bad beat


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CharlieDontSurf
spoiler king


Reged: 04/01/06
Posts: 8355
Loc: Just call it. Friendo.
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: CharlieDontSurf]
      #7189899 - 09/06/06 06:19 AM

though i think i would hedge NE on the second game

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CharlieDontSurf
spoiler king


Reged: 04/01/06
Posts: 8355
Loc: Just call it. Friendo.
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: splashpot]
      #7189905 - 09/06/06 06:20 AM

Quote:

I wonder how many of those 5000 are from 2+2. At least half I'd say.




3 from me lol


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steelbase
member


Reged: 08/07/06
Posts: 130
Re: **OFFICIAL** Mansion free Steelers bet promo thread [Re: CharlieDontSurf]
      #7189988 - 09/06/06 06:52 AM

i was actually deciding between taking the pats for -2 or so at home against the seahawks getting +1. The reason I like the Seahawks here is because if miami covers I will most likely hedge the teaser to ensure not losing the $546. I feel the +1/+6 spread of the seahawks/lions has greater chance to to win both teaser and hedge since detroit being a much better team at home than +9/-2 of the pats/bills game which feels more likely a blowout. Either way, I'm rooting for a steelers 17-10 win first

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