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General Gambling >> Sports Betting

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | >> (show all)
briton
member


Reged: 12/08/05
Posts: 162
Another Mansion free bet
      #7059817 - 08/25/06 05:14 PM

I just got the following email. This one seems way to good to be true!

Dear Member,

Simply visit the MANSION Sportsbook and place a minimum Point Spread (Handicap)
bet of USD 1,100 (or currency equivalent) to win USD 1,000 on the Pittsburgh Steelers
for their game on Thursday 7 Sept 2006. If your bet is not a winner, MANSION will
refund your losses of USD 1,100 (or currency equivalent) within 3 working days of the
result.

This deal is too good to miss. Thereís no better way to kick off the NFL season and
no better place than at MANSION

Donít miss out

The MANSION Team.

Edited by briton (08/25/06 05:14 PM)


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dankhank
Pooh-Bah


Reged: 12/11/04
Posts: 2420
Loc: stagnating
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: briton]
      #7059911 - 08/25/06 05:22 PM

mansion

slots win


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Ortho
old hand


Reged: 06/20/05
Posts: 1080
Loc: Enfield TA
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: dankhank]
      #7059989 - 08/25/06 05:29 PM

wow.

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sublime
Mr. Roper


Reged: 03/12/04
Posts: 15586
Loc: our only chance!
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: Ortho]
      #7060356 - 08/25/06 06:05 PM

mansion really is the best sportsbook/exchange on the planet.

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MicroBob
Johnny Chan Spotter


Reged: 09/19/03
Posts: 29344
Loc: The cat is back by popular dem...
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: sublime]
      #7060383 - 08/25/06 06:07 PM

as i said in the internet-bonuses forum, "OMGGGGGGGGGGG!!!!!!!!!!"


This offer is just freaking ridiculous.


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ImsaKidd
CHOOO CHOO


Reged: 08/25/05
Posts: 11074
Loc: CHOO CHOO
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: sublime]
      #7060434 - 08/25/06 06:13 PM

Quote:

mansion really is the best sportsbook/exchange on the planet.




No kidding.

Is anyone gonna hedge this? Any calcs on the -EV you're gonna take?


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Levarkin
addict


Reged: 08/10/05
Posts: 603
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: ImsaKidd]
      #7060452 - 08/25/06 06:15 PM

I'm hedging. I'd love to pop the most +EV play, but I really like the Dolphins side here, and I would hate to lose out on free money because I lost a bet I didn't want to take to begin with.

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brendanb438
Mo Prop Free Monies


Reged: 01/06/06
Posts: 2636
Loc: Penalty Box at Covers
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: Levarkin]
      #7060494 - 08/25/06 06:19 PM

I will be hedging this with Pinny. They have the Dolphins at +5 -118. Anyone have the excel spreedsheet for figuring these out? I have an arb spreadsheet but I couldnt figure one out for freebets. PM if you could email this to me.

Thanks,
Brendan


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Levarkin
addict


Reged: 08/10/05
Posts: 603
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: brendanb438]
      #7060544 - 08/25/06 06:24 PM

If you assign any decent chance to Miami covering here (i.e. between 55% and 60%) then there's no EV to lose by hedging, as my calcs are coming out. I don't do this kind of arb work often, but if the Miami bet itself is +EV, how can one go wrong to hedge?

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brendanb438
Mo Prop Free Monies


Reged: 01/06/06
Posts: 2636
Loc: Penalty Box at Covers
Re: Another Mansion free bet [Re: Levarkin]
      #7060582 - 08/25/06 06:28 PM

affiliate offer advertising not allowed. -P


Edited by Performify (08/28/06 05:21 PM)


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