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Dan Bitel
Carpal \'Tunnel
Reged: 05/26/05
Posts: 11164
Loc: Bork! Bork! Bork!
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Assume $100NL 6max Party Poker $100 stacks all round
Preflop Hero is dealt 7 8 in BB
2 folds, CO raises to $3.5 , 2 folds, Hero calls.
Flop ($7.5) (2 players) J 7 2 
Hero???
Now, we have a lot of different possible lines here. We can just check/fold. We can bet/fold, we can c/c lead turn or we can C/R flop.
1st, lets look at these lines, before we discuss the "donk" line.
C/R flop
Out of all the lines, this is my least favourite. We basically turn out hand into a stone cold bluff. Worse hands next to never call and better hand next to never fold. I also dislike it b/c it's "expensive". In fact, I think that out of all the possible lines, this 1 costs us the most. The problem is that we have 2 more streets to go after this 1. So if he just calls, we are in a bad spot on turn and river. Its easy to SAY, just c/f. But its just so temting to put out another bet or to call a small bet, especially if turn gets checked through. Also, its more expensive in pure money value, as the size of the C/R is prob more money than you will put in when you take other lines. The last problem, is that wew next to never get to see the turn. and we could actually hit 2pair/trips on the turn, and stack villain if he did flop big
The good thing about this line is that you don't give your opponent a free card and you still get a cbet.
These reasons aren't good enough though IMO to go against the dbitel rule of "don't C/R by default unless you havea very good reason to do so"
Check/fold
The merits of this line are obvious. It's not -EV, as maybe some of the other lines might be (its clearly 0 EV). You are OOP with a very marginal hand. Therefore, c/f certainly cant be terrible.
The problem of cource is that if you keep doing this, you will be folding to cbets left right and centre and folding the best hand pretty often. This will no doubt be making your preflop call pretty damn -EV.
Bet/Fold
This line is simple and no nonsence. You have a hand that might be good, you don't want to get outdrawn, so you bet it. If you get raised, its pretty obvoius you're behind, so you fold it. The other really nice thing about this line, is that it balances out the times where you lead a flop with a flopped set.
The drawbacks from this line is that 1) you might get bluff raised, as in general, leading looks weak. 2) you might get floated and you will be c/f all the turns where you don't improve and 3) you get no cbet.
Check/call lead turn
This is a line that you see widely avised around here in these marginal OOP situations. And TBH, I advoate it a lot too, b/c I think its a really good line. I also like taking this line with sets on dryish boards and I find that it works really well too, so balance isn't a problem. The line is slightly cheaper than a C/R. It gets a cbet and there might even be some value in the turn bet, as it gets called by overs and maybe even a draw (that might've come on teh turn). It also looks fishy enough that people don't bluff raise it and if you check the river, they usually check behind, so you can actually have showdown value with this line. Also, you give yourself a chance to outdraw your opponent on the turn if indeed you are behind, which c/r flop doesnt do
The drawbacks are that it is more expensive than just leading and that you don't get the protection you get with a C/R. That being said, its still prob the best line for the situation.
NEW LINE!!!!!!
So I hope I've given a useful summery of the other possible lines so far. And now I will hopefully give you ma new line to consider. The new line is to c/c the flop and to c/f the turn if he bets and if he checks, either lead/block river or to check to induce a bluff.
I'm sure you've seen this line the whole time from donks. You raise your AK, then cbet the flop. You then check behind turn and then bluff when checked to on the river, then they call, and you think "ZOMG WHAT A FISH!!!". But for a few reasons I'm about to give, I think they took the +EV line, and you took a -EV one. I also see a lot, the exact same thing, but instead of c/c river, they lead it and I fold, thinknig WTF did they have. The reasons this line works is:
1) People raise light preflop 2) People cbet close to 100% of the time HU 3) importantly, people next to never double barrel on the turn. 4) People don't check behind made hands on the turn often enough
So, basically, this line is just as cheap as any of the others. Gives us very good information about opponents hands. Loses the least when behind. Wins the most when ahead. Gets villain to cbet. And gives us a chance to draw out if we are behind.
The problems with the line is that 1) it lets opponents draw out on us if we were ahead 2) its hard to balance it out with a line we'd take with a strong hand 3) we might fold the best hand if villain like to double barrel or semibluff a draw on the turn.
Thoughts?
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CappyAA
Always Be Closing
Reged: 12/04/05
Posts: 3042
Loc: Rehabbing my knee.
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I like it dbitel. I definitely know what you mean though. I always get annoyed when my c-bet gets check/called, and they lead out on the river after I check behind on the turn. It's true that it seems like a donkish line, but the way you explain the EV involved in it actually makes sense.
NH
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epdaws
Pork Barrel Buster
Reged: 10/19/05
Posts: 4260
Loc: 2up, 2 to play
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From your bet/fold secion...
Quote:
you might get bluff raised, as in general, leading looks weak.
How the heck does leading look weak? You usually are spot on, DB, but leading does not inherently look weak. You might conclude that it looks like a steal on a dry board, but betting hardly ever "looks weak."
As to your "new line," I don't think it's a donk's line, and I don't think it's particularly new, but I'm very glad you made this post. It's full of insight and important components for why a certain hand can played certain ways. I'm usually leading middle pair on a dry flop, but I like the line you discussed, and for the reasons you mentioned.
To some degree I disagree with your statement that people almost never double barrel. That really depends, because there are plenty of tables I play at that feature five opponents who will double or triple barrel most times they are the preflop raiser -- and this is regardless of number of opponents.
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ThePortuguee
old hand
Reged: 01/31/05
Posts: 708
Loc: Rhode Island Owns You
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I agree with the idea. Conceptually the line is sound and likely to extract a good degree of value, but I don't think it's a donk's line. Donks do take it, but that's beccause, IMO, it's actually kind of obvious. You call because you intuitively know that its hard yo uhit flops and you did hit the flop, adn you know that people raise with all kinds of stuff, including big hands that missed like AK, AQ, and KQ. You call, then he checks the turn. Well, you dont expect a made hand to check the turn, so when he pipes up on the river you think he's FOS and you call.
THIS, of course, is why I'm constantly advocating checking the turn with made pairs and overpairs to extract value from people diong this, because they do do this. Alot. In fact, some fish will call with all kinds of stupid [censored] on the flop with the intent of bluffing a blank river if oyu check the turn behind.
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Split Suit
Carpal \'Tunnel
Reged: 05/23/06
Posts: 2590
Loc: Forever Downswinging
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Quote:
In fact, some fish will call with all kinds of stupid [censored] on the flop with the intent of bluffing a blank river if you check the turn behind.
how is this exactly a fish play? im no expert by anymeans...but i use this play quite often and it is very successful. the check/check turn by both players almost always indicates that both have missed. also, say we go check/check the turn, and i bet tryin to steal the pot with say bottom pair on the river, i will often get calld by hi-card Ace. this play is extremely solid in terms of padding the win-rate.
also, leading a blank on the river is ok, but leading the scare card off the end is gorgeous. ill do this if the board is 2 diamonds, and if it goes check/check the turn, ill lead 2/3pot if a diamond spikes the end. why is this such a fish play exactly?
(and if u mean in terms of being passive as hell its fishy, then ill agree. but as far as being successful, it really is).
my 2cents.
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kitaristi0
Carpal \'Tunnel
Reged: 02/03/05
Posts: 6132
Loc: incognito
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I like.
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mattnxtc
Carpal \'Tunnel
Reged: 08/06/05
Posts: 2649
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I think what dbitel is saying is that while we can choose to knowingly use this line, a fish is more likely to unknowingly do it without any reason why he uses this line.
This is actually a line I use oop when dealing with tags who are afraid to fire second barrels. Against lags this line can be more of a problem.
A good counter to this is when you see a fish using this line a lot (again they dont realize its obvious or know to vary thier play) then you can actaully look to check the turn with big hands and induce their river bet and raise it on up. This counter works good since a lot of donks think your just tryin to steal the pot and like to call with marginal holdings.
Its a little deception against a person who might generally fold to a 2nd barrel but will lead if a checked turn on the river
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Mercman572
Pooh-Bah
Reged: 04/11/05
Posts: 2357
Loc: Ithacompton. The mean streets ...
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Super high variance, and you have to be very wary of later cards that fall.
I do this pretty regularly against aggressive players and there are some drawbacks you've missed.
1. If you aren't on your A game, you very easily spew by calling too many rivers. 2. Alot of people shut down and don't bet the river for you, if you bet it they will often fold UI. 3. It makes for very bad metagame if it goes C/C, check, check and you show down second pair. Now an aggressive player will second barrel much more frequently against you when you c/c a flop.
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dalerobk
old hand
Reged: 07/20/05
Posts: 782
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I do this sometimes myself, but I try to be very selective about when to do it--mainly to cut down the variance.
For example, I will only call when I have a pair and there's no A, K, or Q on the board. My thought process behind this is that AK, AQ, and KQ missed. But also there have been plenty of times when a JJ type hand has bet on a Q-high flop and then it checked down only for me to be beat. My point is that there are plenty of hands that bet a A-, K-, or Q-high flop and then check the turn that a small to mid pair are behind. So I don't bother with these boards.
I also almost never call unless I have position and am closing the action. I think my reasoning goes without saying.
And finally, I normally don't call full pot-sized bets. This is player dependent, of course, but if I'm going to call, I want it to be fairly cheap and not be with a bloated pot. So if someone bets 2/3 the pot and the above conditions apply I will normally call and play the turn. Any bet of 1/2 pot with the above conditions is an instacall for me.
These conditions make this play have a very high percentage success rate for me. But I do agree with another poster that this is also a play for people who have good table feel because you can get into trouble with this play if you autocall the river every time Villain bets 2x pot.
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car ramrod
Carpal \'Tunnel
Reged: 09/29/04
Posts: 2558
Loc: osu
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wow, I was thinking about this same thing the other day, I just thought I was upset b/c I always think the donks are bluffing when I stop betting my ui overs.
I like these two, and I need to work on doing them more:
3) importantly, people next to never double barrel on the turn. 4) People don't check behind made hands on the turn often enough
How often do you fire the 2nd barrel on the turn?
Also, is this line intended to be used against semi decent players?
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