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PL/NL Texas Hold'em >> Micro Stakes

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avfletch
veteran

Reged: 10/23/05
Posts: 1491

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: Knight Vision]
#10414222 - 05/17/07 05:01 PM

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PJo336
BOOOOOOOOOOM

Reged: 03/27/07
Posts: 3924
Loc: N.O.Y.B. imo

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: avfletch]
#10414276 - 05/17/07 05:05 PM

Less whining, more poker for your title

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Keys Myaths
old hand

Reged: 02/08/06
Posts: 1132

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: PJo336]
#10414358 - 05/17/07 05:11 PM

I love this thread.

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carnivalhobo
Carpal \'Tunnel

Reged: 01/05/06
Posts: 5779
Loc: one time

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: PJo336]
#10414378 - 05/17/07 05:12 PM

something that goes along with this IMO is a sense of entitlement we sometimes get as people who have spend hundreds of hours playing and studying this sick game. It doesnt owe you anything, you dont deserve to win any more than joe mcfish who buys in for 73bbs and playing and 2 suited.

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ama0330
more whining, less poker

Reged: 04/20/06
Posts: 5704
Loc: Crushing

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: kaz2107]
#10414453 - 05/17/07 05:16 PM

Quote:

ama make me a kool stamp to use

lol im on it kaz

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yeesh
newbie

Reged: 05/15/07
Posts: 43

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: ama0330]
#10416025 - 05/17/07 07:17 PM

Quote:

What you need to realise is that when you hold an equity edge of 70%, you are a favourite, BUT if you were to play the situation 100 times, you are guaranteed to lose 30 times

Nice post. I would only add that this is only true if these 100 hands took place in a theoretical vacuum. It's possible to be a 70% equity favorite and lose all 100 hands, and it's possible to win all 100 hands. But if you were to play an infinite number of hands, then yes, you are guaranteed to win 70% and lose 30%.
Running bad or running good often means when our results are not corresponding with our equity over an infinite number of hands.

Edited by yeesh (05/17/07 07:21 PM)

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warwickphil
stranger

Reged: 05/17/07
Posts: 22

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: yeesh]
#10416042 - 05/17/07 07:19 PM

A+++ post.

My number one pet hate is my friends constantly telling me how "unlucky" they are...

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matrix
there is NO spoon

Reged: 09/04/05
Posts: 7050
Loc: UK

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: warwickphil]
#10416148 - 05/17/07 07:28 PM

*bump*

can everyone who's read this already READ IT AGAIN.

please keep reading it until it sinks in.

ama

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Angrymoog
addict

Reged: 03/05/05
Posts: 506

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: warwickphil]
#10416261 - 05/17/07 07:38 PM

Until recently, I had some not insignificant problems with tilting due to losing these situations. Or thinking a pot was mine before the hand was finished being dealt. This wasn't the break-my-keyboard-and-smash-the-pieces-through-my-monitor type tilt. It was more subtle. The kind of tilt where you're certain you're not on tilt.

Fortunately, I am fairly disciplined and decided to cash out and stop playing until I felt I was level again. I try my best to be objective in each hand, and so far it seems to be working well.

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jgunnip
Carpal \'Tunnel

Reged: 10/06/04
Posts: 5321
Loc: shipping ironman bonus medals

Re: **** PSA - Losing as a favourite **** [Re: carnivalhobo]
#10416643 - 05/17/07 08:10 PM

Quote:

something that goes along with this IMO is a sense of entitlement we sometimes get as people who have spend hundreds of hours playing and studying this sick game. It doesnt owe you anything, you dont deserve to win any more than joe mcfish who buys in for 73bbs and playing and 2 suited.

good post

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