| goofyballer |
| (Emo Communist) |
| 08/21/06 12:43 AM |
|
Re: Suited Connectors, Implied Odds, and You (Theory/Math)
|
Quote:
Wow - crazy math. I hope you apply this analysis instead of just leaving it at this.
Me too, I just need someone like Pokey to help me figure out how to do that
Quote:
So, basically, it's a 12% chance (~7.5:1) to flop something you'll want to shove.
So, it's near the 6.5:1 that a pocket pair gives you, plus the little something extra for flopping the other kinds of draws.
I was trying to make the point that thinking this way is dangerous; if you get it in on the flop with a set you'll lose 1 out of 10 times, but if you get it all in on the flop with the made hands/combo draws you flop with SCs, you'll lose your stack 1 out of 3 times. For this reason, even though the odds of flopping a made hand/combo draw is about the same as flopping a set, you need better implied odds to call with SCs to account for the times you lose.