(Johnny Chan Spotter)
07/14/07 02:14 AM
Re: Durrr in process of losing 60k+ in a chess bet.. good month for ra


Grisga, almost everyone who doesn't have a USCF rating or some organized standard rating, and thniks they know their strength because someone told them what it was, is overestimating their strength drastically. I've seen it time and time again, "someone said I'm 1800 strength" usually means they are about 1200-1400 strength.

I've almost never ever in my life seen one case of someone who thinks they know their rating strength, without having gotten one officially, and is not way overestimating it. Almost every single one of them have a reason that may sound very rational as to why they think they are so good, but its almost never true and they will be lucky to be within 200 points of their believed strength.

Once again repeating my agreement with Curtains.
There are so many unrated players who have some friend or tutor or USCF-rated friend who gives them a really generous estimate of what their rating would be.

My experience in the 3 or 4 different clubs I've played in in different cities regarding unrated players has been very similar.

Very few who say they are 1600-ish strength but don't have their rating yet are actually 1600 strength.

Also, the part about "when I'm not being an idiot" is kind of LOL.
You don't get to just pick and choose from only the times when you are playing well.

If I got to throw out my rated games from when "I was being an idiot" my USCF would zip up from 1400 to 1800 in a heartbeat.

Saying "when I'm not an idiot I'm about 1800 strength" is roughly the same as a baseball player saying, "when I'm not striking-out I'm a .650 hitter."

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