avisco01
01-06-2006, 08:20 PM
Suppose you're involved in a tournament whereby the prize structure is as follows:
1st: $200.00
2nd: $100.00
3rd: $ 40.00
Three players remain:
CL: 7,000
You: 4,500
SS: 900
Blinds are 300/600 and you're in the small blind. CL raises to 1800 preflop. Suppose you could see CL's cards and knew you had him beat:
CL: QJo
You: AKs
Supposing in this example, we're reasonably sure we'll finish 2nd close to 100% of the time should we fold given SS's low chip count. Now, what is our expectation in terms of place of finish, of raising all-in, if we knew CL would definitely call, making us a 66% - 33% favorite? I'm not sure how to do the formula, please help if possible, thank you. As an aside, on a personal level, assuming we can't see CL's cards, can anyone actually fold the AKs in this situation, or can it possibly be positive expectation to indeed fold?
1st: $200.00
2nd: $100.00
3rd: $ 40.00
Three players remain:
CL: 7,000
You: 4,500
SS: 900
Blinds are 300/600 and you're in the small blind. CL raises to 1800 preflop. Suppose you could see CL's cards and knew you had him beat:
CL: QJo
You: AKs
Supposing in this example, we're reasonably sure we'll finish 2nd close to 100% of the time should we fold given SS's low chip count. Now, what is our expectation in terms of place of finish, of raising all-in, if we knew CL would definitely call, making us a 66% - 33% favorite? I'm not sure how to do the formula, please help if possible, thank you. As an aside, on a personal level, assuming we can't see CL's cards, can anyone actually fold the AKs in this situation, or can it possibly be positive expectation to indeed fold?